Free Best Football Predictions Site ☛ Sure Betting
100% Sure Win Soccer Predictions, Sure Win Soccer
BEST FIXED TIPS 100% SURE WIN MATCHES
Sure Win Bet Predictions, Sure Win Soccer Prediction Site
Best Football Prediction Site | Tips180
Football Predictions - Free Football Prediction Site
Most Sure Win Soccer Predictions Site, 100% Sure Win
sure win bet tips prediction
sure win bet tips prediction - win
GME - EndGame part 4: The Saga Continues
This is an extension of my DD series on GME. If you haven’t read them and have time, they will provide some background on my previous predictions, some of which have already come true. In this post, I’ll share my thoughts on what I think is going on, plus some tips to manage your positions and exits. TL;DR: Shorts are in but likely want to get out. And they want to get out at the best price possible. See tips for managing positions.
Previous Important Posts
EndGame Part 1 (DTC Infinity) covered the short positions, the float, and potential snowball impacts of increasing prices, and argued that part of the reason that shorts haven’t closed was that it was pretty much impossible for shorts to close
EndGame Part 2 covered Cohen, fair market cap analysis, and potential investors, in which I talked about the amazing mid-to-long term potential for GME.
HEY SEC, if you’re reading please read this one - After the Citron tweet, I shared this fan fiction on what looked like blatant market manipulation by shorts on the day of the tweet, and offered some education on strengthening your position. This one got buried and is worth reading.
EndGame Part 3 covered the gamma squeeze, potential shady tactics by MMs, and some tips for staying safe.
What’s happening with the price?
We’re still gamma squeezing
Many media outlets are reporting this as a “short squeeze”. They’re only partially right, as if Melvin isn’t lying they’ve already been squeezed out. However, the reality is so far we’ve been Gamma squeezing - repeatedly - and some shorts have been casualties along the way. See this post for a deeper explanation, but the essence of it is that market-makers have to buy shares to hedge the calls they sell. The more calls people buy, the more shares they MMs have to hedge with. As I explained in part 1, GME has ultra low liquidity, i.e. there’s waaaay fewer actively traded shares than what shorts need to buy to cover with, and then when you get lots of people buying calls and shares in the hot new stock it just removes more availability from the market. As a result, when MMs buy shares to hedge, it moves the price of the underlying up. Combine that with the buying pressure of people piling into a stock climbing 100% a day, shorts getting liquidated, and it’s a perfect storm. Today, GME closed at $347 (before the after market selloff, but i’ll get to that soon). 320 calls were added yesterday. Similarly, when 115cs were added we squeezed to >115 in two days. Same story with 60c’s etc. Remember this commentary from EndGame part 3 on Friday’s price action: Notice how the stock dropped from a high of $75 on Friday to below 60 - the highest expiring SP for the 1/22 options, andstayed tight in range for the rest of the day. Now, for compliance reasons, MM are required to be neutral by EOD, so 20 minutes before close, MMs had to buy back all their short positions, which led to the strong close above 60. All this led me to believe that thereal fair market price for GME was above $65.Without the market makers interference, GME would have closed higher. Now, what happened today? We opened at $351, more than double the previous close of $145 and after the morning profit taking, we squeezed to a high of $372 as MMs furiously tried to hedge the 320 calls they sold you the day before for peanuts. See, the thing is, Kenny G doesn’t like to lose money. The magical method Citadel’s market makers make money, is that they sell you call giving you the right to buy shares at a certain price, say $320, for the nice price of $10/share (for example). Now, as long as Citadel’s MMs can buy all the shares they have to give to you for less than $320, that $10 is free money. However, when the underlying moves too fast, the MMs have to buy shares for more than $320, and Kenny G does not like that. Today was a shock to the MMs that sold all the 320cs yesterday. A six-sigma event after a six-sigma event after a six-sigma event. Yet again, within days (a day?) of offering new, higher strikes - every call option ever sold was in the money, before they had a chance to adequately hedge. https://preview.redd.it/cq5wy45433e61.png?width=936&format=png&auto=webp&s=0c75a1e1a6e3808b54bafc646e2e6a7f29ca7cc3 So, just as on Friday, if the price got too high above $320, market makers dug into their bag of tricks to start selling it off. (People taking profits here helped too.) However, multiple times, when GME went below $300, MMs took their opportunity to hedge the 1/29 calls. So, just as before, we traded in a tight range around the highest strike. My conclusion from this action the first time was that GME’s fair price was being actively suppressed, and it proceeded to 5x in the next few days. There’s a possibility we’re in a replay and will see more upward movement on delta hedging alone. The point of this is: I think shorts are feeling the squeeze, for sure, reporting massive mark-to-market losses.But I believe the shorts are still in.
Shorts are still in
As of Wednesday morning, Ortex was estimating a short interest of 65M shares, down from 71M shares the day before. https://preview.redd.it/ze8wx15633e61.png?width=932&format=png&auto=webp&s=7a034dbb3c54509c6267f20c4122ecdf3f6cf4bc If you’ve read my Part 1 (DTC Infinity), you’ll hopefully recall my thesis that there are actually less than 24M shares available, and therefore that it would be nigh impossible for shorts to close. Since then a slew of new investors have piled in to buy and hold GME, from little guys like us to big-ass-whales like Blackrockincreasing their holdings to13% of GME. So what? I think the available shares for shorts to buy are down to under 20M, and they have to buy 65M shares to close. Shorts have barely begun to cover. We’ve only been increasing the cost of their exits! Now, let’s talk about Melvin Capital. I loved watching Chamath defend retail investors and argue against the institutional leveraged shorting that got us here in the first place, but I also learned something interesting that helped me understand how the 140% short interest had in the first place, and how the unwinding may go. At 2:10 Chamath says “Gabe Plotkin is one of the giants of our era, but at the end of the day, what happens is that his trades are copied by umpteen other hedge funds that follow along ” This tells me 2 things:
A lot of hedge funds (likely Maplelane, D1, Viking, Point72, and more) followed each other into this short. Much like retards like us get behind good DD shared in the open, these institutional retards got together with their cigars and golf clubs behind closed doors and decided together to go in together against GME.
If Melvin is really out, it’s unlikely the other funds are going to want to stay in, lest they be compared poorly to Melvin if GME continues to go against them. The other shorts want out.
Chamath also tells us that prime brokers (the brokers that hedge funds use) are seeing “the biggest 4-day degrossing from hedge funds they’ve ever seen”. Again, the problem is - there just aren’t enough shares. Shorts have dug themselves a massive grave by shorting more shares in existence and continuing to short while Cohen grabbed up 9M shares, institutions added to their positions, and retail traders piled in. For boomers like this tard that can’t understand why the price is so high - go back to Econ 101, supply and demand bitch.
It’s costing shorts incredible $ to hold their positions
Here’s all the ways shorts are losing money.
They pay borrow fees to loan the stock. At one point today, the GME stock borrow fee hit 250% for new borrows. At $300/share that’s $2/day. That doesn’t sound like much right? What if you shorted at $50?
The short position on GME has ballooned to $25BN from a low of $1B.The borrow fees are applied to the latest closing price, not the price you shorted at.
Funds are paying interest fees on the margin they are using for the short
And oh yeah, GME’s up like 800% in 5 days.
Dirty tactics continue
At this point, I think “THEY” have figured out that gamma squeezes are absolutely destroying hedge funds. So what do they do?
THE BIGGEST DIRTIEST TACTIC OF ALL - they only allow you to sell, not buy. HEY SEC, WHY ARE SHORTS STILL ALLOWED TO SHORT WHEN LONGS ARE NOT ALLOWED TO BUY. WHY ARE INSTITUTIONS ALLOWED TO COLLUDE?
This is insane. Funds, prime brokerages, and market makers all stood to lose money so they disabled trading of GME due to "volatility". Citadel invests in Melvin capital. Then brokerages shut down buying!
Brokerages down
Options not loading
Restrict retail trading on GME
I’m seeing reports that retail buyers not allowed to hold more than 100 GME options now
This is a direct defense against more gamma squeezes and an attack on retail investors, giving institutions a distinct advantage.
HEY Shortsellers Enrichment Corporation - how is it ok for Citron to buy thousands of puts minutes before their tweet and how is it ok for prime brokers to give hedge funds 10-100x leverage, but the little guys can’t have more than 100 options total?
Personally, I don’t really do 100s of options all at once but now I really want to. Fuck this.
More short ladder attacks. Look at after-hours trading on GME - a rapid short ladder attack during low-volume trading in order to bring the price down.
If you use stop losses on GME and leave them on, you will get stop-loss hunted.
Ripple effects of the squeeze
These hedge funds that are short GME, are also short other equities like BBBY, AMC, etc.
These hedge funds are also long other shares with leverage, so the ONLY way they’re staying alive and not covering their shorts, is that they’re reducing their long leverage. This means selloffs in the broader market as they have to shore up their margin requirements against the massive short squeezes in their portfolios.
I believe we’re at a tipping point
I don’t believe shorts have really covered yet. They have defended by getting capital infusions and reducing their long leverage. I.e. they have begun liquidating long positions.
If GME climbs more, they will be forced to cover and liquidate.
There are threats to halt trading. Shares are safe, they do not expire. Calls can be destroyed by tactics like buying halts.
Be careful about swapping ITM calls for OTM calls: it can be tempting to trade-up your options for higher return, but be mindful of the delta impact. You may actually be driving the sale of shares by MMs when you don’t mean to. For example, if you sell a .5 delta call for 2 .2 delta calls, that’s net reduction of 10 shares that MMs have to hold long as leverage.
Be careful about being short any calls this week: Not only do you limit your upside (which is dumb in the prospect of a squeeze), you could end up in a nightmare scenario. A call that ends OTM on Friday could end up ITM after hours if you didn’t sell it, and you may get assigned while the underlying continues to go up. Close spreads if your short legs are deep ITM unless you want to risk early assignment and high hard-to-borrow fees.
There are a few other dirty tactics shorts can play. I’m not specifically going to share them here because I don’t want to give the ideas circulation, but
Choose your own limit sells based on personal sell points. Don’t copy others and don’t try to be memey. Make your own decisions.
Stop sharing your positions publicly. I know this is anti-wsb, and I think sharing them is great for this community, but in the case of GME it’s an attack vector for you.
Be careful of holding weeklies until expiration. Remember the multiple trading halts? What if trading gets halted on Friday at 2pm and doesn’t resume for the rest of the day? All your 1/29 calls would expire worthless. Depending on your broker and your cash positions, maybe even your ITM ones. Roll (or sell, if you’re taking profits) your weeklies well before expiration.
Be careful about buying on margin. Brokers are rapidly increasing margins. If you bought on margin with 2:1 leverage, and the stock went up 100%, you’d be in margin call even without a margin change. If the broker moves margin against you, you’ll get to margin call faster.
Don’t bet more than you can afford to lose. I’ve been in GME long enough to know that just when you think going up is a sure thing (remember last Monday with the short sale restriction?), you can be surprised by a new trick. If you bet it all on weeklies all at once, you may not be able to recover from being wrong on the timing. Consider longer expiry or spreading your purchases out. I’ve held through multiple 30-40% drawdowns in the underlying; and held through a 50% drawdown today, so you need to be ready for the volatility.
Watch out for stop loss hunts. It’s common practice for shorts to hunt for stop losses for cheap shares. If you’ve set a stop loss, be really sure about it.
Don’t sell on dips. You’re only helping the shorts. If you need to sell to take profits, sell when it’s heading up. Sell high, not low retards.
Save dry powder to buy on dips. Dips manufactured by shorts are buying opportunities. Take advantage of folks with paper hands to capture shares at low points. GME has incredible daily volatility. Set a low limit buy and just wait for the order to fill. Have patience when buying.
This is not financial advice; do your own DD. I’m holding over $1M in shares and calls. I AM NOT SELLING WHEN THE BUYING MARKET HAS BEEN REMOVED. YOU ARE BOUND TO NOT GET A FAIR MARKET PRICE. Update New ortex data shows 51M short interest. So the covering has begun. Update 2: what you are seeing in the price drops is likely the gamma squeeze in reverse. People are rightly selling their short term calls, so MMs are selling shares they bought to hedge. That drives the price down, which then causes more de-hedging. This is all a manufactured selloff by elimination of ability of people to buy the equity and should absolutely be investigated. It's very likely the big boys knew the buying restriction was coming and started the selloff last night. Update 3: getting angrier by the minute. Reviewing the volume and price action and shorts bought in volume at the absolute bottom. This mothefucker, Steve Cohen, who bailed out Melvin and previously accused of insider trading is now GLOATING after this blatant trick https://twitter.com/StevenACohen2/status/1354864321134735360?s=09
Greeting Theta Gang boys and girls, I hope you're well and not bankrupt after last week. I'm just now recovering mentally myself. I saw a few WSB converts and some newbies asking for tips, so here you go. V2 of my Options guide. I hope it helps. I spent a huge amount of time learning about options and tried to distill my knowledge down into a helpful guide. This should especially be useful for newbies and growing options traders. While I feel I’m a successful trader, I'm not a guru and my advice is not meant to be gospel, but this will hopefully be a good starting point, teach you a lot, and make you a better trader. I plan to keep typing up more info from my notebook, expanding this guide, and posting it every couple months. Any feedback or additions are appreciated Per requests, I added details of good and bad trades I made. Some painful lessons learned are now included. I also tried to organize this better as it got longer. Here's what I tell options beginners: I would strongly recommend buying a beginner's options book and read it cover to cover. That helped me a lot. I like this beginner book: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B00GWSXX8U/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_apa_OxNDFb2GK9YW7 Helpful websites:
Tasty Trade (TT) and Ally Invest have helpful articles and videos.
ITM: In the money; strike is below stock value. Signif
ATM: At the money; strike is just at or above the stock value, often very highly traded. Can be very effective with moderate - long term expiry.
NTM: Near the money; strike is above the stock value, but fairly close. Slightly unofficial term.
OTM: Out of the money; price is at least a few strikes from the current stock price. I would say 10-30% over stock price.
Very OTM: Not a real definition, this is essentially a lottery ticket. Cheap, but almost certain to expire worthless unless there is explosive movement.
Understand delta in general and how delta changes with ITM and OTM options.
IV, IV crush, and how IV affects pricing. In general, you want to sell when IV is high and buy when the IV is low. Increasing IV is good for held calls/puts. IV drop or crush is generally good for sellers.
Selling options can be quite beneficial. Once you have a good general understanding, lookup thetagang . Kamikaze Cash has good youtube videos on most theta strategies (linked above). I personally believe selling options (especially cash secured) is much safer and can consistently make you profits. Θ Gang 4 life.
FOMO and how to avoid chasing a dangerous trend. DO NOT CHASE FROM FOMO!
What intrinsic and extrinsic value are. Know how they are affected by being exercised/assigned and how theta affects them.
Understand that some of WSB recommendations are straight up high-risk gambling and factor in the information accordingly. Be careful with Meme stocks and the survivorship bias on YOLO plays. However, I love the sub and think it’s hilarious. It has a lot of valuable information / DD if you are comfortable with the “colorful” language. It’s also great if you like rocket ship emojis.
Basics / Mechanics
Understand the 4 "main" option types. Buying or selling a call and buying or selling a put. Spreads and more complex multi-legged option strategies are based off these in some way (see below)
You can sell calls with 100 shares of stock or if you own an underlying longer term option; see LEAPS and PMCCs later. Selling calls naked is incredibly risky and often requires Level 4 (very advanced) permissions and usually a lot of capital. I will literally never sell calls naked since I don't want to ruin my life and end up living in a dumpster eating saltine crackers.
Puts can be sold/written cash covered (cash secured), which means you have the cash in your account to buy 100 shares. Your broker will put this money on hold until the trade is closed. Puts can be sold "naked" using Margin and Level 3 (with most brokers). Your broker will hold a percentage of cost of 100 shares (often 30-40%, 100% on meme stocks) allowing you to sell more puts. This increases your available capital/power as well as increasing risk.
General Tips and Ideas:
Don't EVER leave (short) spreads open on expiration day, close them. (more details below)
Start off trading very small. Slowly build up over weeks / months. You need to get accustomed to a fifty dollar swing a day, then a few hundred, then a few thousand. You need to ensure you don't get emotional (see below). I started trading options with 5k, then 25k, 50k, and later over 100k. I added my own funds over time and used my gains to build my account. Don’t go all in immediately, that’s dangerous and unwise.
Especially as you build up the amount of money you have invested, keep it diversified among several stocks.
Don't go all in on one thing, ever. Be able to take a hit from one stock and not mortally wound your portfolio.
A company may be doing great, then there's a major product issue out of nowhere. If you are overexposed in one stock this can really hurt you.
I had to roll options I sold that were about to expire completely worthless because FDX's CEO changed and the stock took a hard dip.
Don't trade emotionally. If you realize you are emotionally trading for vengeance, you should probably exit the trade and cool off for several days with that stock. Same if you get caught up in a wave of hysteria.
Have a plan for every trade, ideally with entries / exits that are specific values, ranges, or a set condition. This helps remove emotions. This is super important for strong movements and high volatility (see later).
Use an options profit calculator from your broker or an online one before entering a "new" trade, especially a complex multi legged trade: https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com/
“Rolling” an option: Closing your existing option and opening a similar one at different strike and/or expiration.
Rolling a call “Up” would be selling a call you own and buying a cheaper call at a higher strike.
Rolling a put “Down and out” closes your original one and buying or selling one at a lower strike at a longer expiry.
Better broker interfaces have a literal “Roll” button. I know E-trade does. You can manually do it by selecting relevant contract legs.
If you have a losing trade, re-evaluate it. If your initial assumption is definitely incorrect, close it. Don't stay in losing trades forever and lose the entire value of the option over stubbornness. If you re-evaluate and you think your assumption was right, hold, potentially consider adding another cheaper option (or buy another call / put). Rolling out sold options can help here.
Don't try to day trade, especially with options. It's statistically unlikely to be profitable. Day-trading with options introduces extra liquidity risks and is dangerous, especially with spreads.
Try not to over-trade, you'll likely mis-time the market over time. When I get emotional I over trade, then lose additional money on wash sales. If you scale your entries into positions it should help alleviate your desire to exit positions when they turn badly against you. Whenever I buy calls I do it at larger increments after W almost made me loss my hair; luckily it eventually came back.
NEVER enter a position on a stock you have no idea about, especially when you read about it online or heard about it from some rando.
At market open options contracts are often volatile and inflated. Buying during this time can be more expensive. Options are usually cheaper mid-day, I read somewhere 2-3PM is cheapest. I’ve had success around 12-1PM EST after prices settle.
Try wheeling on cheaper stocks once you get all fundamentals down.
When selling puts if you are very bullish consider "doubling down"; note this is higher risk. Use the credit from your put sale to buy shares or a cheap call. This can be roughly inversed with puts, except I wouldn't ever recommend shorting shares.
Learn from your mistakes. You can’t go back in time and beating yourself up (to a point) is useless. Make a physical &/or mental note of it so you don’t do it again. If you don’t learn from it, then beat yourself up so you won’t do it again.
If you have friends that like to trade, I find it helpful to discuss strategies and planned plays. I talk openly with my close friends about my current holdings and planned trades, it helps keep me accountable. If I get a wide-eyed look, I might be doing something excessively risky or stupid. I’ve over-leveraged myself in calls twice and I knew I shouldn’t have done it both times. When I tell my friends what I did and I’m embarrassed, it exemplifies the face that I shouldn’t have done it in the first place. You will also get ideas for new strategies or plays from them. It’s good to stay versatile and use multiple strategies when appropriate. Beware of group think/echo chambers.
I recommend NEVER telling someone what to buy/sell and when. I’ll tell people MY plays or what I like and why, but I will not encourage them to emulate what I do. Depending on the audience, I’ll tell them my exact positions along with my exit and entrance strategy. With closer friends I’ll offer my thoughts on their trades (if asked). If my friend is doing something really risky (one of my friends does some scary stuff) I may ask them if they want my advice, and provide it, especially if they overlooked a risk/event. I will not encourage someone to execute/enter a trade since it has a high potential for hurt feelings or animosity all around.
Don’t fall in love with a stock. Just because something made you money before and you have high confidence in it doesn’t mean it will keep performing. I joke that FDX betrayed me when it started dipping and losing me money. I was over-confident of its bounce-back and sold too many puts too quickly. I’m in several losing trades because of it. However, I will keep good stocks in my rostetracking list or try different strategies or re-enter trades when they change their behavior.
As you start to both buy and sell options and get more experience in general, you'll start seeing the two sides to every trade. You will likely start adjusting your strategies or trying new trades out because of this. Things will likely click one day. Most/all the greeks and options concepts will become almost second nature. For me this was when I could build an Iron Condor from scratch, which was a watershed moment involving a good understanding of many strategies.
Understand Liquidity and volume.
Trading in low volume, low open interest contracts results in wide bid/ask spreads and difficulty having your contracts filled. Look at all the data for a contract, not just the strike and price.
Monthly Expiration dates typically have better liquidity.
Multi-legged trades (Common examples are 2-legged vertical spreads or 4-legged iron condors) have more difficulty being filled, especially on bad brokers like Robin Hood. Having very liquid options for all legs is extremely helpful in obtaining timely and well-priced fills, which maximize your potential profits.
Time in market vs timing the market:
It is extremely difficult to time the market perfectly. If you wait for the perfect opportunity forever, history has proven you will miss out on gains. Keeping all your money out of the market has proven to be ineffective. Now if there is something serious happening with a stock/the market (like say a new pandemic), don’t go all in. I recommend entering incrementally at dips. If the stock has huge upside potential it may never go down, so it might make sense to partially enter at the current price.
IMIO selling puts is a great strategy to get into a stock you like, or at least make money off it. I think buying stock in lots of 100 is usually for suckers. Selling an ATM or ITM put (assuming the math works out) on a stock you were going to buy and hold is ALMOST free money.
I recommend keeping some cash available regardless. If you have a very large account or expect a downturn, hedging with indexes like QQQ, SPY, or VIX or calls/puts may be wise.
Every trade can't be a winner. You will take some losses, you must get used to it. I don’t like having a realized loss of 1K or more on any trade. However, this will happen, especially with larger accounts.
As long as you win more often and beat the S&P that year I consider it okay. I’m kind of aggressive, so I consider 20%+ annually good. 30%+ annually is great. 40%+ and I’m dancing. After trading options I am almost baffled by my old belief that 5% annual returns (mostly from dividend ETFs) was “good”. That’s nothing to me now since I’m willing to take risks. Note: While lots of people danced in 2020, realize that’s an insane Bull Run year and is atypical.
Adhere to your own risk tolerance and never over-extend yourself, especially with margin use. Don’t make huge gambles leaving you uncomfortable. Only gamble with money you are willing to lose.
My personal strategy is to make safer gains for the year and then enter slightly riskier strategies using those gains. I can be slightly-moderately more aggressive and compound my gains. For me I often sell puts to make money, then when I see a big opportunity I’ll sell a put and buy an OTM or moderately ITM call.
Understand it’s not safe to try and get rich overnight. However, once you hit big “steps” things may start to snowball. You can enter more positions and take more risks if you choose to.
For me this when I hit 50k, then 100k. I was able to balance low and moderate risk positions to more significantly grow my account. I’ll even do a high risk thing now and again because my gains can absorb it (assuming I have them).
I can’t wait to get to 250K, then 500K. I know it’ll take quite a long time, but I am confident I’ll eventually be able to have 500K and (hopefully) 1M in my non-401k trading account with gains and additions from my job. I can only imagine how “dangerous” I will be with that kind of capital.
If you missed "the next big thing" like AAPL, TSLA, or the time machine I’m building in my basement. Don't get upset, learn from it. Adapt and become a better trader for next time.
Figure out why a company was so promising, before they mooned. Determine how you would have traded differently in hindsight. Apply those lessons to the next company you believe has long term growth prospects.
For me that's putting in 1-2.5k towards shares and/or buying LEAPS on it. Depending on my bullishness I may buy “cheap”, fairly far OTM calls. The far OTM options are sort of lottery tickets. If I'm right the (relatively) low cost will have explosive profits; if I'm wrong, they didn't cost that much so it's a calculated loss I’m willing to accept. For more serious bets I’ll buy ITM LEAPS to run PMCCs on. I also like to buy 1-2K in my 401k for very long-term plays.
The stock market hates uncertainty, it seems to crave the status quo. A shakeup can potential tank a stock, even if it's nothing. With shares you can wait it out, but this can be problematic for options. If you see volatile/uncertain times ahead (politics, disease, manufacturing, earnings, etc.), you might want to reduce your overall portfolio risks or hedge.
Profit Retention / Loss Mitigation
If selling options, it is a viable strategy to close early after a large gain with many DTE left until expiry. See TT videos / strategies on this.
Don't hold options through earnings unless you literally want to gamble. I like playing on earnings run ups, but that can be risky.
If you hold options through earnings, IV crush will happen immediately afterwards, devaluing the option. However, if the option is profitable enough, IV crush won’t matter, which will still make money for a call buyer. A sold put sufficiently far OTM will benefit from IV crush, even if the stock dips after slightly bad or lukewarm earnings.
Don't throw good money after bad. Don't gamble on a recovery if your assumption appears to be wrong or the market is flat out tanking. If you are wrong and still believe in the company, wait twice as long as your original plan (wait for your 2nd entry point vs 1st) before adding to your position.
Consider using stop losses to lock-in profits on rides up or sometimes use them to prevent losses. Note, stops can be easily triggered in volatile options. Now when I'm up a lot on calls (especially around earnings or large momentum run-ups) I always set stop losses. I have been burned too many times. In December 2020 I didn't set a SL on several thousand dollars of FDX calls I was already up on and I "lost" ~$5K of unrealized gains. If you're up big, don't get too greedy.
A possible strategy if a stock is on a tear and you have multiple options open: Close some positions (I prefer to do this incrementally if the stock has momentum), but leave 1+ open in case the stock goes into outer space/the floor. Next, set a stop loss with a little buffer below its current movement / range so it doesn't get hit unless the stock falls hard. Finally, watch the stock closely and if it keeps rising, keep moving the stop loss up in little bits incrementally. This will let you keep more profits on a hot streak, but give some protection and secure more gains. It will also help eliminate FOMO if a stock exceeds your expectations.
Have rules when to roll out, down & out, or up & out. I like TT’s roll at break even or at 1x loss and to always roll for a credit (or for me a very minor cost). Obviously these rules need some monitoring. Know your stocks, the news, and technicals so you don’t jump the gun.
If you roll early for a credit and you’re right, it’s not the end of the world. You’ll just need to hold longer, which will obviously tie up capital. Sometimes it’s better to tie up some money (especially if you aren’t paying interest) than eating a huge loss.
Rolling too late can be worse though. I currently have a very underwater FDX put I sold that is over 2x loss, rolling it does almost nothing unless you want to pay a debit or extend it extremely far out.
On huge options gains, I strongly you recommend taking profits by rolling up/down or incrementally sell your contracts at several different prices (this is why having multiple contracts is nice).
Rolling up involves selling your initial call, then using a fraction of your proceeds to buy a cheaper, further OTM call with the same expiry; puts are inverse this. When rolling up I like to ensure the new option’s cost is 15-40% of my realized gains. I’ll buy a more or less expensive new optoin based on my convication to the stock and predicted movements. You can also roll up and out to get a further expiry and strike.
This is monumentally important if you are playing with incredibly high rising stocks or during a short squeeze.
Sad story time: I completely screwed up when I forgot to roll up, twice, during the GME gamma/short squeeze. I didn’t take my own advice; I didn’t have a real exit or transition plan and I got emotional. It all happened so fast and I was at work; the insanity of the run up and subsequent gamma squeeze caught me off guard. I should’ve clocked out and thought through the situation for 15-30 minutes to form an impromptu plan, then executed trade(s). My moderate risk tolerance coupled with my desire to take profits took over. When the stock partially cratered after a run up, I sold to retain gains. In the heat of the moment I thought the squeeze was squoze and it was going to plummet into the ground and I wasn’t being rational.
On 1x 4K call I would’ve made an additional 15-25K if I rolled up to a cheaper contract with some of my profits.
I know I missed out on significantly more with a 2nd call I had. Depending when I rolled it, it would likely have been an additional 25-50k in profits.
I talked about learning from your mistakes above. This mistake is branded into my brain due to the massive gains I missed out onby not rolling up. I’m furious with myself as I write this 1 week after the GME gamma squeeze, I’m a planner and I didn’t plan. If anything I own is significantly up ever again, I’m rolling up (or at least setting a stop loss). If necessary, I’ll roll up a trade multiple times to keep extracting profits.
Learn from my mistake so you don’t miss out on gains too. I strongly recommend rolling up when you are up big on a call / roll down when you are up big on a put. This enables you to take profits, stay in the game, and keep extracting more gains.
If you trade a lot of options, talk to your broker about a discount. I was getting the standard $.50/contract with E-Trade, but I traded over 300 contracts a quarter and was able to get the fee reduced by over $.10 by just asking. I am now doing more spreads and condors, so once my volume gets very high, I’ll ask again.
If you have a broker that isn’t great and you want to switch, leverage your current trading fees to the new broker. Tell them you’ll move over $### thousand if they beat your current options trading fee per contract.
Trade Planning & Position Management Tips
As you gain experience, start monitoring what kind of Delta, OTM, DTE, etc. you are most profitable with. Use it in your future trades. You'll often see the tasty trade 30-45DTE .3 Delta strategy for selling.
Before entering a trade, look at rough technicals like resistances and supports to consider your relevant strikes as well as entry/exit points. Look at upcoming earnings & dividend dates as well as stock/market news.
Consider staggering strikes and expirations for safety and diversity; it’s nice to avoid assignment on 3 puts at once because you used the same strike for all 3.
Incrementally enter positions on large rises/falls. One of my favor strategies is to buy dips after over reactions. By doing this slowly in large price "steps" it helps combat FOMO and helps you avoid getting slaughtered.
This will also help you avoid "chasing a falling knife". It also ties into having a plan.
I set alerts at several predetermined prices and I REALLY try not to enter new trades unless I hit my preset points. It makes me less emotional and usually more effective.
Don't buy far expiration options with poor liquidity for shorter term plays. I bought 1x GME 1-year+ LEAPS call before the 2021 short squeeze. That was stupid, I should've bought 2-3x 60-120 day calls to have better liquidity. I also paper-handed it and missed out on my lambo.
If selling options, consider rolling (for a credit) to avoid assignment when it makes sense / meets your plan. Rolling closer to expiration can be a valid strategy to get theta on your side. On the flip side, if the stock moons or plummets it could've been better to roll before it got crazy deep ITM. See rolling “rules” above.
Covered Calls:
If a stock has a large movement range, I think it can be worthwhile to wait to open a CC after the last one is closed/expires. I have been more successful waiting for another opportunity vs. opening one immediately on the Monday after the second the last one expires.
Consider selling covered calls at all time highs/peaks. If you sell a CC and the stock dips significantly, and you think it’s temporary, you can buy to close your CC for a quick profit, then reopen it later.
If you own Meme stocks, selling covered calls runs the risk of missing out on large gains. On these stocks I typically only sell them further OTM than I normally would or not at all. If I do sell CC on a Meme stock I try to ensure I have 25-100 other shares that won’t be called away.
-Advanced Beginner- Spreads
Spreads (with 2 legs) are neat because they manipulate how delta and theta act. It caps your gains and losses, but you can profit with less stock movement. Try several spreads on a P/L calculator to see for yourself.
Spreads usually require margin trading.
Spreads allow you to define max losses (assuming you close before expiration day) and use less capital.
Experienced traders will open many spreads at identical/similar strikes to heavily profit off movement. Spreads can make you/lose you a lot of money if you are right.
For example. I could make a $200 premium off a $500 risk trade, max loss would be $300. This is much more effective capital utilization than a naked or cash secured put, however it does not have the same downside protection or “wheel” potential as a sold put. Higher risk, higher reward.
Vertical Debit spreads: I think of these like mini calls/puts. I personally don’t use them unless calls are outrageously expensive or the break even is absurdly high, but there’s nothing wrong with them. A call debit spread will lower your breakeven and overall cost vs just a call. You can do clever things like making a positive theta call spread if you’re creative. I like doing this since I hate losing money to theta.
Vertical Credit spreads:
Very good theta strategy to define downside/upside risks.
A put credit spread is bullish and allows you to bet on upward movement with less capital and defined losses.
A call credit spread is a bearish strategy that allows you to bet on downward movement. These are very cool since they allow you to sell calls without selling naked calls, which can ruin you financially. I see selling these as better than buying puts since it’s so much easier to be profitable; to be redundant, Θ rocks.
I repeat this on purpose: Don't EVER leave short spreads open on expiration day, close them. If you don't close, they better be VERY far from the strike on a non-volatile stock. In after hours a stock can jump/dip below your strike and be exercised without the other leg to protect you. This can lead to massive, life ruining losses. This is not an exaggeration, google this and be scared. It happened to a fair number of people with TSLA. Video explanation: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rtVFj9nRRDo&t=315s
Short Straddle:
Trading Mechanics, Taxes, Market Manipulation
Learn about wash sale rules. They suck and are very easy to activate with options. This will eliminate your ability to write off losses. Over trading can easily cause wash sales. https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/washsalerule.asp
Short attacks:
Learn to recognize these sketchy attacks by hedges/firms. They manipulate the market, it’s been documented countless times. A common one is rapid short selling, which pushes the price down.
Some people say short ladder attacks don't exist. I've seen some very strange stock nosedives off low volume, so I tend to think they do.
If you plan well enough and the market doesn’t give up on the stock you may be able to use it as a great opportunity to buy the dip.
Cramer explains how he intentionally manipulated the market when he ran a hedge fund years ago. Multiple links to the video are below since this video gets pulled often, Cramer / The street never wanted this to go public.
Due to this video I don’t fully trust Cramer. His show can give you stock ideas to buy (or inverse), but you never know where his true loyalties lie.
Plan for taxes if you are up big. You may need to over withhold or contribute to taxes quarterly depending on your situation. https://www.irs.gov/taxtopics/tc306
-Intermediate / Advanced Strategies (work in progress)- You’ll notice many of these strategies inverse one another. Options Strategy Finder This website is great for learning about new strategies, you’ll see many links to it below. https://www.theoptionsguide.com/option-trading-strategies.aspx Short Strangle / Straddle
Both of these strategies profit from little price movement. I recommend using a P/L calculator to determine BE, profit, etc.
A straddle sells (or buys) two options at the same expiry and strike.
A strangle sells (or buys) two options at same expiry with different strikes.
Both these strategies involved selling a Call and a Put for a credit. Straddle uses ATM legs, strangle uses OTM legs.
Limited max profits and unlimited risk. Due to the unlimited risk, I am not a fan. However, many people like these a lot.
These strategies profit from neutral or mostly neutral stock movement. They receive a credit to open and benefit from theta decay. If your stock is range bound, these may be a good choice.
These are both 4 "legged" trades, so you will have 4 trading fees to enter or exit the trade. A lower cost or zero cost broker shines here. However, “bad” free brokers will give you poor fills, which may not be worth the discount.
Condors and butterflies have "wings" which are your purchased puts and calls. The wider the wing the higher the max profit/risk. The condor body can be riskier and skinny with a narrow high profit range or wider for a much greater chance of success with lower payout.
An iron condor is built by combining a put credit spread and a call credit spread with the same expiry.
An iron condor can be thought of as a modified short strangle with limited risk, and therefore a bit less profit. I prefer defined limited risk.
The butterfly is similar except instead of a plateau it has a sharp peak. My personal mental note is that a condor looks more like a strangle with wings, while a butterfly looks like a straddle with wings.
Pay attention to earnings dates when you open these, I have forgotten to check before and it led to bad trades.
The debit version of an Iron Condor. You expect the price to stay inside your defined range. This strategy profits from neutral or mostly neutral stock movement. I’ve never tried this, Iron Condors make more sense to me.
Inverse of an Iron Condor. You expect the price to go OUTSIDE your defined range. These are useful when you expect significant price movement. Credit to open.
Limited risk / limited reward.
Can be harder to set up. I want to try these, haven’t yet.
Inverse of an Iron Condor. You expect the price to go OUTSIDE your defined range. These are useful when you expect significant price movement. Debit to open.
LEAP Options are options that are long term with many DTE, often over a year until expiration. LEAP calls are great for long term growth plays (downtrends with LEAP puts) or simply when you really like a company and can't afford 100 shares. LEAPs (or any "longer term" option) enables you to sell a PMCC or PMCP (below)
PMCC / PMCP
PMCC or PMCP are poor man's covered call (or poor man's covered puts). They are diagonal options often used with purchased LEAPs. You sell a shorter DTE call/put with a further OTM strike than your purchased call/put. For PMCC/PMCPs it is often recommended to recoup your extrinsic value as soon as possible, some recommend with your first call CC or put sale, to ensure you are positive if the option is assigned early. These have a lot of moving parts and strategies. If you buy a barely ITM call/put and sell a nearby strike call/put you run the risk of the purchased option getting "blown by" on large stock movement and ending up with a very negative losing trade. Keeping your purchased LEAP deeper ITM should protect you. Check your initial PMCC using an options calculation to make sure you don't screw up.
I'm currently tinkering with these myself. So far I like .7-.9 delta call LEAPS with 30-45 DTE calls on my CC. The goal is to hold the LEAP long term, potentially until expiration, and constantly sell calls/puts on it that expire worthless. Typically the call/put is rolled up and out or down and out if it's going to be assigned, unless you don't want your LEAP anymore.
Some people look at these many sold CC or puts as profits, I look at them as lowering my cost basis until it's zero (or even negative). I have a page in my notebook I write each CC on my NIO LEAP (I Meme stock sometimes). I find it satisfying to slowly see the cost of the original option disappear. When I originally wrote this I had ~2 years left on it and it's 9-10% paid for; that doesn't even count the actual gains the LEAP has.
TT states this is considered an IV play, which I partially agree with. You want to buy these during low IV times since an IV drop will hurt your LEAP value. I look at them more as a way to sell calls/puts on a high IV company with a lot of price movement and potential upside/downside.
Good brokers will allow you to set these up, some will require a desktop to do it. This lets you link one action to another. In programming think of it like an if-then. You’ll tie a buy/sell to another buy/sell
Setting trailing stops on options is very chaotic since their price movement can be drastic due to volatility. I prefer to set my trailing stop to a stock.
What I like to do is set a trailing stop on a stock (or just link it to a stock price drop) and have it sell 1 share I own. Then it immediately executes a market order to sell my call. I’ve had good luck doing this with incredibly volatile plays were stop losses aren’t effective. I’ll often have an order saved and ready saved for when a strong run up starts. When my price alerts start blowing up my phone, I’ll immediately hit execute to turn it on.
Disclaimer: I’m not a financial adviser, I'm actually an engineer. I’m not telling you to invest in a specific stock/option or even use a specific strategy. I’ve outlined and more extensively elaborated on what I personally like. You should test several strategies and find what works best for you. I'm just a guy who trades (mainly options) part-time for financial gain and fun. I don't claim to be some investing savant.
Hello everyone! I apologise sincerely for the delay in predictions this week, I had a lot happening, Blood tests for glucose levels and such, a Job interview, overall not feeling super well, but I didn't want to let you guys down. This is a fun card, not an amazingly stacked card, but a fun one, and an end to the question "Can two team mates destroy each other in the Octagon?". (c) - Champ (D) - Debut FLS - Fight Lose Streak FWS - Fight Win Streak NS - No Streak (#x) - Rank in Division Lets go! Prelims Women’s Flyweight Gillian Robertson (#13) (9-5-0, NS) v Miranda Maverick (8-2-0, 6 FWS) - This is an incredible match up. Robertson is a savage, one of the most underrated and dangerous submission artists in the division who hasn’t really gotten a strong hold on climbing the ranks. Regardless of her record, she has an excellent ground game, she works incredibly hard to get the fight to the ground, and when she does, she instantly works for a submission position, and most of the time, that works and her opponents succumb to pressure and present their neck or limb. Now, a lot of her opponents are aware of the threats on the ground and now work to avoid and defend takedowns, and thus keep the fight on the feet. This is key for Maverick, and I firmly believe that Maverick can quickly outpower Robertson, she’s an incredibly physically strong fighter who has great power in her hands, and being so young in her career. She has made great strides in her career since her debut in Invicta in which she dominated most of her fights. She has pretty effective striking, and she throws leather when needed, but most of her best work is done on the ground, she’s a very good submission artist and even though she’s probably not going to force the fight to the ground against a great grappler like Robertson, she would know how to get out of submission positions and work back to the feet. I love Robertson, she’s an animal, but she’s relatively one dimensional, and I love what I see in Miranda. So, another hype train i'm gonna ride for a little longer… Maverick via KO R2 Welterweight Gabe Green (9-3-0, NS) v Philip Rowe (D) (7-2-0, 7 FWS) - This is a great fight between two newcomers, Green had a fantastic debut against Rodriguez, and even though he did lose, he did manage to put on an incredible performance, he even came in as a late replacement so this wasn’t a full camp performance and yet he still landed 120 plus strikes, and he ate shots from Daniel Rodrigeuz for 15 minutes, it was a beautiful, violent fight. I love how Green fights, he has an interesting defensive shell and he gives off a lot of different looks that allowed him to land a few decent shots on Rodriguez. Green will no doubt look a little bit different this time around because he has had a full camp and is more prepared for this fight. Rowe has turned around his career since his two back to back losses at the start of his professional career. Nothing but submissions and knockouts on his record, but in regards to this fight, he has one major advantage and that’s his reach, he’s very long, and has a 7.5 inch reach advantage, if he can avoid the pressure of Green (and Green is the type of fighter to push forward nonstop), and maybe take the fight to the ground, I can see Rowe getting a slick submission in, because from what I can see when it comes to Green’s chin, it’s pretty damn solid. So the best bet for Rowe in my opinion is to take it to the ground, and slip in a choke. Rowe via Sub R2 Featherweight Ricky Simon (17-3-0, 2 FWS) v Brian Kelleher (22-11-0, NS) - Any fight that has Ricky Simon in it, sign me up to watch it end to end because Simon is a specimen. I could easily copy and paste what i wrote about Simon when he fought Pirrello, but this time it’s a little bit different, it’s at featherweight and he will no doubt be carrying more mass, exuding more energy when he throws punches, or slams opponents, and that’s a bit dangerous when coming against someone who has fought in Featherweight beforehand in Kelleher, but the skillset and the power will still be there, i’m just weary about his cardio, Simon has excellent cardio at Bantamweight, but at Featherweight that’s a whole different question. Simon is incredible at creating pressure and throwing everything he has into every round, wild striking, vicious wrestling and a non-stop pace that is as exhausting for us as it is for his opponent, and that’s a good thing. Simon is facing a very durable and experienced, well rounded fighter in Kelleher though. Kelleher has an interesting array of techniques, with his signature, most mastered technique being a guillotine, but his stance (a somewhat blocky wrestling/striking hybrid) allows him to stand firm, defend any takedowns and throw hard, and with Kellehers proclivity to takedown and wrestle, his stance also allows him to dip and level change effortlessly, he’s a very good wrestler as well so he has a huge variety of weapons he can use to defeat Simon, but honestly, i’m still riding a Simon hype train, and I feel like by the time Kelleher throws something, Simon would be somewhere else, out of view and attacking, Simon is fast, durable, exceptionally well rounded and always entertains. Lets go Simon! Simon via UD Catchweight (140) Andre Ewell (17-6-0, 2 FWS) v Chris Gutierrez (15-3-2, NS) - This is an interesting match up. Ewell is someone who a lot of people kinda overlook because of how talent rich the division is, but if there’s one thing you need to keep an eye out for with Ewell, it’s his volume, he just throws, and throws, and throws. He is a kickboxer at heart, and his length and range allow him to adjust his style of attacking to fit the situation. He can keep at bay aggressive fighters by hitting then evading, he can push forward relatively aggressively, but he’s somewhat smart about his range whenever he strikes. His left straight is by far his best weapon, but he does have one flaw, and that is he looks maybe too loose on the feet at times, if you look at the Jonathan Martinez fight, you’ll notice that he was milliseconds away from being cleanly hit by Martinez’s super fast kicks, you can’t take that risk when you fight someone like Gutierrez. Gutierrez is a powerful striker, everything he throws is just… dangerous, and sharp, and has the shortest travel time from Point A to B, it’s pretty awesome to watch him get loose in the octagon, landing heavy leg kicks, body kicks, combo’s, anything really, The way he methodically dismantled Morales was beautiful, those leg kicks were powerful, landing in the same spot over and over again. Gutierrez landed 36 leg kicks in that fight I believe. He had a gameplan and he followed it through. He will need to do the same to disable the aggression from Ewell, chop at those legs, bring Ewells hands lower than they sometimes already are, then target the head. That’s what I feel like will happen. Gutierrez via KO R3 Women’s Strawweight Polyana Viana (11-4-0, NS) v Mallory Martin (7-3-0, NS) - Odd little tidbit I noticed, this is the second Strawweight fight of 2021, both the Bantamweight and Flyweight divisions have way more fights, so i’m glad Strawweight is getting a little bit of love. Viana is a great submission artist, she’s always looking for the fight to go to the ground so she can work her magic, Viana is like a snake on the ground, always finding the better positions to fire off a few submission attempts, and whilst her striking isn’t exactly clean or effective, that threat of being knocked out is always going to be there. Martin has a solid stand up game, she’s got decent striking and mixes her attacks very well, and I strongly feel that she will want to keep this fight standing otherwise she’s going to get outworked on the ground. I’m not too sure about who is going to win this fight though, if it goes to the ground Viana has a solid chance of getting the win, but Mallory is a tough striker to beat, and I’m not too sure if Viana will want to risk a striking exchange. This could be a methodical, boring fight, i’m not too hype about this fight, but overall i’ll be leaning on Martin to win. Martin via UD Welterweight Dhiego Lima (15-7-0, 3 FWS) v Belal Muhammad (#15) (17-3-0, 3 FWS) - An incredible match up to start this event. Lima is a super tough fighter, and whilst he hasn’t had a finish in quite a while, he still puts on pretty decent performances. Recently his performances haven’t been super good, throwing but not landing, grappling seems to be his main weapon, but with how inactive Lima has been, and how sporadic his fighting timeline has been, it’s pretty hard to see too many positives in comparison to the rise that Belal Muhammad has had in recent years. Muhammad is an animal at the moment, his style makes it very difficult to take him on, or even read him. He has two major threats for most of his opponents, his wrestling and his powerful, crashing right hand. He typically dips to level change but then launches that right hand. His wrestling is incredible and he is quite controlling when it comes to the ground game. Everything about Belal is something I like to see in a developing fighter. I can see Lima getting hit brutally over and over with those power right hands, then taken down and eventually submitted. Muhammad via Sub R3 Middleweight Rodolfo Vieira (7-0-0, 7 FWS) v Anthony Hernandez (7-2-0, NS) - A very interesting fight, and it’s always good to see an undefeated heavy favourite put his streak on the line. Vieira is a submission specialist, not a submission artist, a specialist, that’s a whole different level of whoa. Over 100 grappling bouts, multiple gold medals and tournament wins, Vieira is one of the most accredited grapplers that the UFC has at the moment, that’s still young and still has a chance to show off his striking, but holy crap he’s a solid grappler… he won 5 championships in 3 years, that’s not only impressive, but on a whole different level of skill. He’s called the Black Belt Hunter for a reason and well, Hernandez is going to go to sleep if he’s not careful. Hernandez has had a rough time in the UFC, and i’m hoping they’re giving him this fight not to beef up Vieira, but to give Hernandez an excuse to stay in the UFC. Hernandez has had some decent wins in his career, but most of those wins were in LFA. In the UFC he hasn’t been too successful, his recent loss against Holland kinda showed me that he isn’t great at being pressured, and if Vieira pushes forward, works hard for a takedown and absolutely dominates from there, I don’t see Hernandez getting the upper hand on the ground, he has a punchers chance but I mean… Vieira is a phenom at the moment, a rare addition to the UFC and i’m on the train, first class tickets! Vieira via Sub R1 Main Card Middleweight Julian Marquez (7-2-0, NS) v Maki Pitolo (13-7-0, 2 FLS) - It’s a shame that 2020 was a horrible year for Pitolo. Marquez is coming back from a 2 year hiatus, after suffering a heavy loss at the hands of Alessio Di Chirico, or as we now probably call him, the Hype Train Derailer. Marquez is a powerhouse, he explodes and lands incredibly hard, he has insane power in his hands and everything he does has that extra oomph that you can probably hear in a full arena. Marquez however is somewhat one dimensional with his style, he loves to strike, he loves chaos and hates order, and that’s going to be dangerous for Pitolo because numerous times we’ve seen Pitolo succumb to pressure. Pitolo is a mad man, don’t get me wrong, he has insane striking, he’s wild, a showman and someone who you really want to see fight for a while, but he can’t go one on one against Marquez and think “i’ll just go wild”, he needs to keep Marquez pushing him for the first round, see where the cardio holds up (I don’t think Marquez has much cardio because of how explosive he is), and then start attacking him in the second or third, but again, it’s hard for me to tell how good a returning fighter is cardio wise, so this is a very rough prediction. I’m leaning on the Cuban Missile Crisis to win this one though. Marquez via KO R1 Lightweight Bobby Green (27-11-1, NS) v Jim Miller (32-15-0, NS) - Green is lowkey one of my most favourite fighters, the amount of work he does in the octagon is pretty impressive, especially when you watch his fight against Vannata, that fight will go down as a classic I can assure you. Green has gorgeous boxing, he’s incredibly crisp and fast with his punches, and he has his wrestling to add even more frustration and drain his opponents of their gas. Green had one set back during 2020 and that was against the incredibly talented Thiago Moises. Green has every skill that one would need to succeed in the UFC, especially with his crisp boxing and head movement, he’s going to be a dangerous fighter for Miller who has a more grapple heavy approach. Miller has had some significant wins over his very extensive career, recently submitting Clay Guida, Roosevelt Roberts and Jason Gonzalez to name a few, Miller is a dangerous, dangerous grappler, he can strike though but not to great efficiency, he mostly uses his striking to set up a takedown, where he does his most effective work. Miller is on a rough run at the moment, ever since losing to Anthony Pettis, or even prior to that against Poirier, he hasn’t really strung together any major streaks, a win here and there, but nothing to great significance, and since this is the Lightweight division we’re talking about, significance is important. I have Green in this fight, he can keep this fight on the feet, keep at a distance and keep striking, he’ll win this one. Green via UD Middleweight Kelvin Gastelum (#11) (16-6-0, 3 FLS) v Ian Heinisch (#15) (14-3-0, NS) - This is going to be beautiful. Gastelum has incredible boxing, he’s the only one that gave Israel Adesanya trouble on the feet by using his beautiful pressure and interesting hopping technique that got him into range. Gastelum is on a losing streak but he has faced incredibly tough challenges. He went to war with Adesanya, he fought a highly technical bout against Till and has now lost to the submission artist in Hermansson. He is now facing the wild and explosive Ian Heinisch, which is going to be a brutally tough fight because Heinisch is pretty damn aggressive and has explosive takedowns that come with his explosive strikes, overall, Heinisch is an explosive dude and a perfect matchup for a methodical and tactical boxer like Gastelum. Heinisch is someone who is always improving, so there’s no doubt that what you saw in 2020 will be what you get in 2021 and more. That makes me wonder what his game plan will be, whether he will come in with a wrestling heavy approach to negate the power that Gastelum has on his feet, or if he’ll be incredibly aggressive and keep Gastelums back glued to the fence. Either way, Heinisch is going to be unpredictable, and I think it will be a true test of what Gastelum can accomplish if he can handle Heinisch. This is a great fight, one that I don’t want to overtalk this fight because well, it’s hard predicting a fighter on a losing streak, to win, i’ve done that one too many times (Michael Johnson being the most recent one) and it didn’t turn out how I expected… So this is a risky prediction, but War Gastelum! Gastelum via KO R2 Co-Main Event Women’s Flyweight Maycee Barber (#9) (8-1-0, NS) v Alexa Grasso (12-3-0, NS) - An interesting fight to say the least. Barber is coming off a heavy loss and a horrible injury to her knee, so there’s a lot of variables coming into this fight. Barber has always been an incredibly aggressive and tough fighter, she pushes forward, launching punch after punch that can overwhelm her opponents, she put away Robertson very effectively, bloodied up Cifers and destroyed Aldrich. She’s no doubt still a prospect and if she can get past Grasso then that certifies her prospect status in the Flyweight division. The one thing i'm worried about is her knee… It was probably her first ever injury and that would hang on your mind for quite a while. Barber is going to have to get past the excellent boxing of Grasso if she is to win this one though, and that’s going to be pretty tough. Grasso has made her rounds in the UFC before, facing pretty much every up and comer that the UFC threw at her, Grasso is yet to get a solid winning streak going and her main weakness seems to be her ground game, She doesn’t have the best takedown defence, nor the best defensive submissions, her main style is her boxing, and if she can avoid the ground with Barber and keep the fight on the feet, I can see Grasso getting the upper hand. But Barber is a solid, solid prospect and one minor setback isn’t going to hurt her. Barber is still a very promising fighter and i’m gonna lean on her a little bit longer. Barber via UD Main Event Welterweight Championship bout Kamaru Usman (c) (17-1-0, 16 FWS) v Gilbert Burns (#4) (19-3-0, 6 FWS) - A fight that we all needed to see. Every match up has happened but this one. Usman is an athletic freak, he’s one of the most durable and strongest welterweights in the division right now, his wrestling is incredible, his striking is somewhat great, his cardio is neverending, and he has defeated the best the welterweight division has to offer, all but one. So many people think Usman is boring, the whole footstomp meme is everywhere this week and whilst it’s a good chuckle, I feel like some people are sleeping on the potential that this guy has. There is so much story behind this fight, training partners, Usman leaving his own gym to train with Wittman (which is a pretty great substitute), we might see a change in style from Usman, because I highly doubt he will wrestle with Burns considering Burns is one of the best BJJ practitioners in the welterweight division. I feel like Usman will try to trade hands with Burns, or at least grapple against the fence but not on the ground. Burns is one of the most improved fighters of the division, he was mostly a submission artist but in the last year or two, we have seen him become far more comfortable on the feet, and that throws off a lot of his opponents. His ability to change and adapt, and include striking to his skillset is second to none the best change I have seen in a fighter. It’s kinda like when Gaethje finally learnt to become patient and we saw an upgrade to Gaethje’s skill set. This is what is happening to Burns at the moment, we are seeing a newborn striker who carries significant power and isn’t afraid to show it. This is a super tough fight to predict. Both fighters have a solid chance of winning… but I feel like Usman will be holding onto that gold a little longer. I’m feeling a little ballsy with this prediction. Usman via KO R4 And that's it! Again, sorry for the late predictions, been a stupid crazy week. f you wish to support me please message me and i can provide details on how you can do so. If you would like to follow me on twitter, you can find me @Slayer_Tip or if you want, add me on discord and we can have a super friendly chat about all things MMA: Slayertip#7013 Lets have a fun discussion down below, let me know if you agree/disagree with my picks :) But for now, have a beautiful week, take care of yourselves :)
New? Start here! https://preview.redd.it/2zar1m85xjf61.png?width=1600&format=png&auto=webp&s=45361941276c90a28a2cf665851c61ea32993b14 “So,” Eve started as she led her companions through the broad thoroughfares of Pyrindel, “how much did you bet on me?” “Not much,” Wes replied, disappointment in his voice. “Odds were eighteen to one against you, and the bookies only carry a hundred silver in these earlier. Only let me wager five.” He grinned. “Still cleaned him out, though.” Eve shook her head. “Shame. Doubt I’ll ever get odds that good again.” Preston snorted. “You beat a tournament favorite so bad the Archbishop herself had to intervene. If you’re not predicted to win every match until the finals those bookies are drunk.” Wes exhaled. “I’m still disappointed none of you bet on me.” “I bet against you,” Eve said, “but that was with Preston. None of the bookies were close enough when you stepped up.” “And I’m glad they weren’t,” Preston added. “You technically lost, remember?” “Only technically,” Wes replied. “And now I don’t have to fight through a whole tournament to make an impression. I’d count that as a win.” “That’s exactly what a loser would say,” Eve teased. “No, I’m pretty sure losers say ‘ramtshit, I demand a rematch!’” Wes gave his best Roric impression. “What even is a ramt?” Preston asked. Eve shrugged. “Hells if I know. And I actually feel a bit sorry for him.” Preston raised an eyebrow. “Sorry for him, or sorry for his muscles?” Eve ignored him. “I mean, imagine traveling all this way, grinding up to level sixty-three, and being named one of the tournament favorites, just to be paired against me in round one. It’s really not fair.” “Feeling humble tonight, are we?” Wes chuckled. Eve flashed a grin. “It’s not my fault I’m so great.” Preston rolled his eyes. “I’m just curious what they’re gonna do for your next match. There’s a reason we had to wait an hour for the bout after yours. Divine Intervention isn’t cheap.” “Really? It looked an awful lot like a fancy version of your Ayla’s Ward.” The healer nodded. “That’s because it pretty much is. Divine Intervention is a tier 5 upgrade to Ayla’s Bulwark, which is a tier 4 upgrade to Ayla’s Ward. Get me to level a hundred and I can start doing it too. That doesn’t answer the question though. Archbishop Callandria can’t keep using it every time you fight, both for Mana reasons and because if she casts it too soon it’d end the bout unfairly and if she casts it too late your opponent dies. Roric’s lucky she was as quick as she was today.” “Maybe they’ll schedule me for the end of the day? At least that way the next match won’t be delayed while the Archbishop recovers her Mana.” Preston continued, “That still leaves her with the task of deciding your matches before you even land a blow. You saw how pissed Roric was today, and even if it’s the only way to keep your opponents alive, if you fight through the whole tournament like this, there will always be a question of whether you truly deserved to win.” “So what am I supposed to do?” Eve asked. “Just kill ‘em in the ring?” “Well, no,” the Caretaker answered. “But you might consider toning down the Mana Rush a bit. You just need enough Strength to trigger Cheat Death; you don’t need to wipe out their entire bloodline from the annals of history.” “That doesn’t seem quite fair,” she argued. “How am I supposed to know how much Strength is enough? What if Roric had a defensive skill I didn’t know about? Too little Strength and I could just outright lose the match.” Wes snorted. “Mana Rush isn’t fair. Asking you to rein it in is absolutely reasonable.” Preston nodded. “Would you rather your opponents wind up dead? Or maybe the tournament officials will disqualify you like they did Wes.” “I doubt that,” Eve said. “The competitors knew Cheat Death wasn’t perfect when they signed up, and I’m not a threat to the spectators, the coliseum, and Pyrindel itself.” “Hey,” Wes protested, “I only burned the enchantments a little.” “Oh, you mean the enchantments put there to stop wayward spells from murdering audience members? The ones specifically stopping your fire from burning the arena to a crisp? Those enchantments?” Eve laughed. “Well as long as it was only a little.” When can I try? Art, who’d been thus far quietly reading the thoughts of passersby, joined the conversion. I wanna fight! Preston patted him on his feathered head. “The tournament is for humans, Art. I don’t think it’d be fair to let a Trellac enter.” But Eve’s not human! Art insisted. And Wes is only half human. Wes rubbed his temples. “Do… do I want to know what the other half is?” Half idiot! The hatchling cheerfully sent. Wes frowned. Preston snorted. Eve cackled. After several moments of belly-shaking, tear-welling laughter, the Defiant finally managed to collect herself enough to address Wes and Preston’s questioning looks. “What? You’re not the only one who can teach him things.” “And you went with ‘half human, half idiot’?” “Hey,” Preston said with a slight smile of his own, “at least you’re not a full idiot.” Eve affectionately ruffed the feathers atop Art’s head. “Flawless timing, kid. Excellent work.” The Trellac replied with a simple wave of pure emotional pride, not enough to actually influence anyone else’s own state of mind, but plenty to understand his meaning. “Now let’s get you back to the suite,” Preston said as the palace gates came into view. “I’m sure Reginald will want to hear all about today’s fights.” “And while we’re at it—” Eve paused to flag down a passing page to request a cask of ale and a few plates of food as they stepped into the lavish hall— “I think a celebration is in order.” Preston raised an eyebrow. “A celebration? It’s only round one.” “Sure, but there’s still a few days before round two, and we have one decisive win and one… whatever Wes did to celebrate.” The fire mage shrugged. “Good enough for me. And mine was definitely a win. I just won so hard the arena couldn’t handle it.” Eve patronizingly patted him on the back. “Whatever you tell yourself so you don’t go crying into your massive signing bonus with Hard Company.” “I’ve already told you, I’m not signing with Hard Com…” Wes exhaled. “You know what? Maybe a celebration is in order. Just so I have an excuse to drink enough ale to forget your Hard Company jokes.” “Now that’s more like it.” Eve opened the door to her suite, leading the way into the luxurious bedchamber. “The night is young, the food is free, and the ale will flow just like the bad jokes.” “I hope not,” Preston said. “The ale’s supposed to go into your mouth, not out from it.” “Yeah,” Wes agreed, “let’s not have one of those nights.” Eve opened her mouth to reply, but was cut off when a knock rang out at the chamber door. But a moment later, a procession of liveried servants marched in with several trays of roast meats, hearty stews, and buttery fish, as well as the all-important small keg. Eve didn’t even wait for them to leave before pouring herself a tankard. “A toast,” she called, “to beating the tournament itself.” Wes fetched himself a glass, raising it to the air. “Cheers to that. It’s absolute ramtshit, but cheers to that.” “To ramtshit!” Preston added. Eve grinned, taking a swig before echoing the sentiment. “To ramtshit!” —— Eve awoke the next morning feeling like ramtshit. The trouble, she’d learned, with being a Manaheart, is that in order to experience any level of intoxication, she had to completely overwhelm her body’s ability to convert the alcohol into Mana. The process, however, left her needing to drink a truly unreasonable amount of water to stave off the morning after, a task she’d failed miserably the prior night. At least with a bit of food and water her Ethereal Metabolism would have her right as rain sooner rather than later. After a moment spent rubbing her aching temples, the reason for her abrupt awakening reasserted itself. Eve! Art’s sending overshadowed the polite yet unceasing knocking at her door. The silly man wants to talk with you. Grumbling something about waking her up being anything but silly, Eve forced herself to her feet and crossed the bedchamber, caring little for the wrinkled state of the clothes she’d slept in. She yanked open the door to reveal Art accompanied by Wes, Preston standing in the antechamber, both looking far too alert given last night’s festivities. No doubt Preston had a few Lesser Healing-sized holes in his Mana pool. In front of them all stood Charles, his fist poised to knock yet again at the wooden door. “What do you want?” Eve half spoke half grunted. The Steward dropped into his customary, unnecessarily extravagant bow. “Your excellency,” he greeted. “Lord Traft, military advisor to her majesty Queen Elric, has requested I arrange a meeting with you. I believe he wishes to discuss a potential defensive alliance with the people of New Burendia. What time might I let his lordship know you’re available?” Eve froze. “I um…” She dragged the syllable out, her sluggish mind racing to summon any excuse to avoid negotiating treaties for her nonexistent kingdom. From behind the still-bowing Steward, Wes and Preston glared at her. It was only as her belly began to loudly rumble that Eve’s pounding head managed to form some semblance of an idea. “I’m sorry,” she said in the haughtiest voice she could conjure her tired state, “but I simply cannot make plans on an empty stomach. Would you be so kind as to fetch me a loaf of bread to break my fast?” “A loaf of bread.” The Steward nodded. “Of course, your excellency. I am at your service.” With that, he turned on his heel and swung open the front door, vanishing into the ostentatious hallway. Eve grinned. “That oughta keep him busy for a while.” “That was cruel,” Preston said flatly. “You’re gonna get him killed.” “Nah, more likely he finds out the oven’s broken so he has to go into town, buys the bread, then finds the queen herself also wants bread this morning so he gives it to her, and she loves it so much she gives him a promotion and he forgets all about Lord Traft and his meeting with me.” Wes stared at her. “That’s… an oddly specific prediction.” Eve shrugged. “That or something else equally ridiculous but ultimately harmless. Even the bakeries I’ve burned down didn’t actually hurt anybody. Charles’ll be fine.” “Alright,” Preston backed down, “but you’d better tip the poor man in gold when he inevitably comes back empty-handed after scouring every oven in Pyrindel for your bread.” “Sounds fair.” Eve nodded. “He deserves it too, if only for dealing with nobles all day.” “Nobles and you,” Wes added. “You’re high on his list of headaches too, you know.” “Sure am,” Eve chimed, “but I’m number one on your list of headaches.” “That you are, Eve.” Wes patted her on the back. “That you are.” “Speaking of headaches…” “Yeah, yeah.” She didn’t even need to finish her sentence for Preston to understand her meaning, lifting a hand to channel golden radiance across the room. Eve shuddered under Ayla’s invasive judgement, both of the self-inflicted damage she’d done in the name of last night’s celebration, and of the fool’s errand she’d just gifted the hapless Steward. Even as her hangover vanished and the goddess’s light faded, a shadow of guilt remained. She shrugged it away. Her life’s quest really hadn’t hurt anybody so far, she thought. Why should it start now? It wasn’t as if she’d sent the defenseless Steward into a dungeon, or anything. He might return a bit scraped up, a bit exhausted from chasing shadows all over town, but otherwise, Eve was sure that Charles would come out unharmed. Probably. PreviousNext Leave a Review! | Discord | Patreon | Map | Mailing List I'm trying out including the cover at the start of chapter posts. Let me know what you think!
Hello, once again. Ya'll are seeing me a lot this week huh? So, I need to preface this prediction with a very, very quick apology... A horrible start to the year for me, and I'm very sorry for that, I know a lot of you come here to read this in hope that you make some money, and i've always tried to make that possible, but there have been some disgustingly hard fights to predict these past two events, and this week is definitely not any different. THERE WILL BE CONTROVERSIAL PICKS THIS EVENT So, with that said, please... don't hate me over my picks, you know that i'm never 100% accurate, you know i've had shit predictions in the past, you can check all of my predictions on Tapology here Nothing but full disclosure, i don't like hiding shit from you guys, you're all my family. Onto the fights! (D) - Debut (c) - Champ FLS - Fight Lose Streak FWS - Fight Win Streak NS - No Streak (#x) - Rank in Division Lets go! Prelims Flyweight Amir Albazi (13-1-0, 2 FWS) v Zhalgas Zhumagulov (13-4-0, NS) - A fun and interesting scrap to start the first PPV of 2021. Albazi made a statement when he fought Malcolm Gordon, he looked sharp, and the moment he landed that single leg takedown it was practically over for Gordon. I highly suspect he will have a similar game plan coming into this fight, throw some strikes, land some of them to get his opponent to think of the strikes, then go for a takedown. Once the fight goes to the ground then it’s all Albazi. Zhumagulovv is a very fast moving fighter who utilizes a lot of in and out movement that kind of lures his opponent into swinging, in which he most of the time goes for a counter. One of the tendencies I've seen on Zhumagulov’s side is that his striking is always a colliding force. He’s never jabbing at range, he’s always slamming his way in, which makes me think that Albazi will be using that to his advantage, duck an overhand and go for the takedown. This is of course all guess work but based on each fighter's patterns, it makes sense that Albazi would want to take the fight to the ground. I’m leaning on Albazi on this one. Albazi via UD Featherweight Nik Lentz (30-11-2, 2 FLS) v Movsar Evloev (13-0-0, 13 FWS) - Another interesting fight. Lentz is a very experienced Featherweight who has faced some tough fighters, including Charles Oliveira twice, he has never fought in the top rankings yet and I don’t think he ever will, but his ability to keep coming back for fights and putting on impressive performances is testament to his love of fighting, and we all love to see that. Lents hasn’t really made a stamp in the UFC other than his record (13-8-1). He is fairly well rounded with a relative inclination to wrestle, most of his fights involve him grinding out a win. He isn’t necessarily exciting, but he does have a heavy workload. Evloev is coming in as a late replacement, but honestly that shouldn’t matter, Evloev is a fucking animal and regardless of his small frame, he has power in his wrestling, he has excellent, near endless cardio and he’s just overall a dominant fighter. He destroyed Grundy, Barzola and Choi with effortless ease. Evloev is a problem. Very short analysis for him as he is a late replacement. Evloev via UD Middleweight Andrew Sanchez (12-5-0, NS) v Makhmud Muradov (24-6-0, 13 FWS) - Sanchez looked very good against Turman last year, he maintained a solid amount of pressure, showed some upgrades to his striking capabilities, looked insanely loose and powerful, and for a fighter that has a tendency to wrestle and grind out his opponent, if he can continue doing what he did in that fight, against Muradov, then he’s going to surprise some people. That slick one-two knockout was beautiful and exactly what Sanchez needed to make a statement. I can see Sanchez doing his best to pressure and wrestle, grind down Muradov and tire him out, because I doubt he’ll be willing to strike with someone who is as sharp on the feet as Muradov. Muradov is a very loose boxer who just floats in the octagon. His jab is gorgeous and he seems to utilize a lot of feints in order to set up those punches. Muradov sort of starts slow, which isn’t a bad thing in this case because he’s landing shots and finding his range at the same time, he’s a fairly technical fighter and I don’t think Sanchez is going to have an easy time on the feet against Muradov. The only way I see Sanchez winning is if he just wrestles and shuts down the striking game of Muradov. I love Muradov, I like what I see and I feel like he will be the far better striker in this fight, and well, Sanchez doesn’t have a super good chin so... As long as it doesn’t go to the ground, Muradov has this. Muradov via KO R2 Light Heavyweight Khalil Rountree Jr (8-4-0, NS) v Marcin Prachnio (13-5-0, 3 FLS) - I had no idea Rountree was back. Rountree had some time in the spotlight thanks to his power and now his slight adjustment to his striking ability, having trained with the best Muay Thai trainers in the world, but it has been a long time since we’ve seen him fight and having followed his social media a little bit, it looks like he’s getting some solid work in, so if there’s one thing i'm ready for, it’s a more durable Rountree, someone who will be more patient but also have the same impact and explosiveness after setting everything up. Now, i’m not sure if he’s going to come in looking like a Muay Thai fighter, but what I am fairly confident about is he’s going to fire off those chin seeking missiles and put insane pressure on Prachnio, and I mean, I don’t think Prachnio can handle big punches anyway because he’s been knocked out 3 times in a row over the span of 2 and a bit years. Prachnio seems to be fed to the wolves in this fight, and honestly i’m not sure if he can handle the pressure and power of Rountree. He has 3 fights in the UFC, all 3 fights he lost in the first round by KO. He is going to have to figure something out because if he loses this fight, he’s not coming back to the UFC. He will need to wrestle or something. I can’t analyse or see what he’s good at simply because there was no highlight moment in his UFC career to look back to. I’m leaning heavily on Rountree on this one. Lets go War Horse! Rountree Jr via KO R1 (bonus points for head kick?) Women’s Bantamweight Sara Mcmann (#9) (12-5-0, NS) v Julianna Pena (#8) (9-4-0, NS) - I don’t know who fights less, McMann or McGregor. McMann is a fairly decent fighter who has faced the gauntlet of fighters that the UFC has to offer, and at times lost. Recently she has shown signs of slowing down, not throwing as much volume as she used to and just not having that same cardio she had that made her a relatively dominant fighter back in the day, and i mean, she’s 40 years old, there’s no doubt more signs of slowing down to come. McMann is a profoundly good wrestler, she’s highly technical and has great pressure, but she’s not a good grappler, I know that sounds confusing, but whilst she’s an elite wrestler, she doesn’t have the know how to avoid submissions and if she’s facing a BJJ practitioner she’s in trouble. Fortunately, Pena is only a somewhat decent submission artist, she’s more well known for her pressure and her wrestling, but with not many memorable performances, it’s hard to look back at certain fights in awe. Most of her performances have somewhat been similar, a lot of pressure, some octagon control, decent striking and much better wrestling, but can a wrestler of Pena’s capabilities out wrestle a former olympic level wrestler? I’m not sure, what I am somewhat sure of is that Pena is going to look for a submission if the fight goes to the ground, that’s her opening and if McMann takes her down, Pena will be firing off submission attempts in order to sway the offensive from McMann. I got Pena on this one. Pena via Sub R3 Middleweight Brad Tavares (17-6-0, 2 FLS) v Antonio Carlos Junior (10-4-0, 2 FLS) - This is an entertaining one. Tavares is almost always looking for a violent fight, he’s an absolute savage who is wild with his strikes and throws everything into them. Don’t let his two fight losing streak fool you, despite losing to Israel Adesanya, who is the current Middleweight champ, and Edmen Shahbazyan, who is one hell of a prospect, Tavares is still a tough cookie to crack, he’s fairly methodical with his striking, he doesn’t necessarily throw/land much volume but almost all of his punches land significantly. He is very much a dangerous foe on the feet, which is why Carlos Junior is a great fight for Tavares. Carlos Junior is a very, very good grappler who will almost do anything to take the fight to the ground, since he’s not a super good striker, but what skill he has when it comes to fighting, especially grappling and submission skills, he has mastered. He’s going to be looking for a takedown early on, whilst both fighters are dry, he has more of a chance to submit Tavares in the first two rounds than the third, and that’s what I'm predicting at the moment, but can he handle the bombs of Tavares? This is what makes predicting some of these fights hard. I’m leaning on Junior on this one. Very controversial, I know, but this year has been full of crazy fights so far. Junior via Sub R2 Lightweight Arman Tsarukyan (15-2-0, 2 FWS) v Nasrat Haqparast (12-3-0, NS) - This is a tough one. Tsarukyan has made a name for himself for his tough durability, highly technical skillset and his insane debut against Islam Makhachev. Tsarukyan is a machine, he has excellent cardio, a bottomless pit of energy, and he doesn’t give his opponent any time to sit down on their punches and initiate their gameplan, he’s always throwing something, disrupting the pattern and taking no risks with going into a brawl. Tsarukyan is in my opinion as perfect of a fighter as you can get in terms of durability and skill, he’s smart and constantly changes targets with his strikes. He kept Ramos guessing as he was picking him apart, it was absolutely masterful the way he did it. Haqparast brings one thing to this fight that is dangerous for Tsarukyan, and that’s his powerful boxing. Haqparast is an excellent boxer who isn’t wild, is incredibly sharp with his strikes and makes sure to land at a high proficiency. He needs to initiate, he needs to pressure and cut off the octagon from Tsarukyan's excellent movement. This is a fucking amazing fight and I’ve been a fan of both fighters since they’ve started, but at the moment, i’m leaning fairly heavily on Tsarukyan winning this one, his cardio is going to be too much for Haqparast, he’s going to do what he did against Ramos, keep at range, hit Haqparast on a mid-step, everything looks great. This is a great fight, one that cannot be missed. Tsarukyan via UD Main Card Women’s Strawweight Marina Rodriguez (#9) (12-1-2, NS) v Amanda Ribas (10-1-0, 5 FWS) - Rarely do I ever get excited for a women’s fight, mostly because of its horrible roster, but holy hell is this fight one that you need to see. Rodriguez is great at one thing, and that’s relentless pressure. She’s always throwing punches, always moving forward and once she gets close, she works great in the clinch, because of her solid Muay Thai base I feel like that’s where she’s most comfortable, she’s going to want to rush forward, close the distance and pin Ribas against the cage and work very close from there. Hopefully she’s worked on her takedown defence a little bit because Ribas is a genius level grappler and has incredible trips and takedowns. Ribas is riding a wave of hype and rise to fame right now, she’s the queen of Fight Island and for a very good reason. The way she destroyed Paige Vanzant in near effortless fashion was beautiful. But, she does have one big issue, and that’s her striking, whilst she does throw volume, that’s mostly pressure volume, she is still quite easy to hit if her opponent holds their ground and pushes forward. Ribas dictates her fights though, she’s excellent at maintaining pressure in the grappling department and once the fight goes to the ground we see an excellent display of positional changes and ground and pound. This is a great fight but I only see this going down the following way. Marina tries to rush forward and go into a clinch position, Ribas lands a trip or a lateral drop or something, then works from the ground. That’s what I can see happening at the moment. Again, crazy sport, anything can happen (See Lazzez as a recent example of crazy hype trains being derailed). Ribas via Sub R2 Lightweight Ottman Azaitar (13-0-0, 13 FWS) v Matt Frevola (8-1-1, NS) - This is a great fight, that’s going to end in someone going to sleep. Azaitar has blown me away. 11 of his 13 fights have ended in the first round in devastating fashion, he is a walking nuclear submarine and each of his punches holds the power of a nuclear warhead, it’s insane how fast and explosive he is, and also how accurate. Everything he throws, is with the intent to shut the lights off and put his opponent away. That’s all I can say about him, it’s simple, watch him strike, watch his aggression, watch his attitude, he’s a freakishly powerful striker. Frevola though isn’t someone to accept a fight knowing he’s going to be in danger, he’s the type to accept a fight to put on a phenomenal show. Frevola is an excellent, well rounded fighter who puts on an incredible pace and has a wrestling advantage over Azaitar from what I can see. But it’s kinda like trying to catch a skunk, you know that fucker can be stinky but you gotta get close to get a hold of him, it’s a dangerous and gross job but someones gotta do it. Frevola, if he chooses to wrestle, is going to eat some heavy, heavy shots upon entry and i’m not too sure if his chin can withstand the power of Azaitar, one clean uppercut upon entry and it would be an interesting yet unknown result until it happens. War Azaitar! Azaitar via KO R1 Women’s Flyweight Jessica Eye (#6) (15-8-0, NS) v Joanne Calderwood (#8) (14-5-0, NS) - HERE WE GO EVIL HERE WE GO! WOOF WOOF! Sorry, every time Eye fights, that video appears in my head and I can't help but laugh sadly. Eye is definitely an interesting fighter who only fought for the title because she gently defeated her other opponents. Her performances have been… somewhat okay? Like, nothing too exceptional, some volume punches, some grappling but really, zero highlights worth mentioning. That isn’t to say that she’s not tough because she is going to fight until the fight is over, she’s not one to be too timid, she’s pretty vicious when she wants to be, but she has always had setbacks and I just feel like this is going to be another setback. Calderwood is violence when she wants to be, not violent, but violence incarnate. She’s got absolutely gorgeous knees and can tough it out with the best of them. Her loss against Jennifer Maia was a surprise to pretty much everyone and kinda showcased an issue that Calderwood has always had, and that’s her ground game, she's very vulnerable on the ground with no wherewithal on how to avoid submissions. Fortunately for her, Eye doesn’t know what a submission is, so I expect this fight to stay on the feet, with Calderwood putting in the more work, especially in the clinch, in fact that’s where I see the majority of the damage coming in from, knees and elbows in the clinch. Anyway, I got Calderwood on this one, but this is Eye we’re talking about, she could pull something off here. Calderwood via UD Co-Main Event Lightweight Dan Hooker (#5) (20-9-0, NS) v Michael Chandler (D) (21-5-0, 2 FWS) - Oh boy. Ohhhh boy, I don’t know where to start with this one. If you’re not excited for this fight then get the fuck out of the MMA world, we don’t need ya. Hooker is a warrior in every sense of the word. I can say so many good things about Hooker, I can go on all day, but let’s get down to business. Hooker is a phenomenal kickboxer, his long limbs allow him to attack at range effectively, his knees up the middle are effective at stopping opponents from looking for takedowns and everything he throws is effective and super well timed. Look at his fight against Poirier, he might look violent and wild but everything he throws is methodical and is to set up another set of combos. Hooker only somewhat fails against heavy wrestlers, as Poirier in the later rounds has shown us, even basic holds and positions are enough to slow down Hooker, and Poirier isn’t even a wrestler. Hooker is a savage, and according to interviews, he’s going to look different, and fight more smart, which makes sense because Chandler is a mixed bag of chaos. Chandler is a very long awaited debuting fighter coming off a very successful career in Bellator. Now, for those fortunate enough to never have watched Bellator, like us Aussies, then you probably aren’t super aware of Chandler, I wasn’t until maybe mid last year, and I can only relate him to one other UFC fighter that we all know and love, Gaethje. His style reminds me so much of Gaethjes, he swarms his opponents, his pressure, pace, and consistency with his actions are insane. Some argue that he’s past his peak but we won’t know that until he fights Hooker, but holy shit what a tough fight for Hooker. Chandler is a wrestler at heart, he’s very good at finding takedowns, whether its through chain wrestling or switching targets, he’s dangerous on the ground, with great top pressure. And I feel like that’s where he’s going to find success. This is a striker v wrestler at heart, but this is also one of the most highest calibre MMA fights that we might see this year. I gotta go with my NZ brother on this one. I know in previous conversations I was talking about Chandler winning via UD, but Hooker… something about him just makes me go “dudes gonna win this one”. Maybe i'm crazy, but i’m also confident, somewhat. Chandler is going to surprise us all, isn’t he? Hooker via KO R3 Main Event Lightweight Dustin Poirier (#1) (26-6-0, NS) v Conor McGregor (#11) (22-4-0, NS) - It’s time guys. Now, just a warning, I have some stupid hot takes here, no one here is gonna like them, unless you actually like them. Poirier has made incredible improvements to his skills and capabilities over the span of the years, and since his fight against Pettis, he has shown nothing but violence and determination to get that belt. Poiriers boxing is fucking gorgeous, the way that he sets everything up, the way he reads his opponent, the way he changes target on the fly, body, head, body, head, giving his opponent very little time to defend or adjust is absolutely masterful and if he can do the same to McGregor, then holy shit. Poirier in my opinion is the best boxer in the division at the moment, even with Conor being there. Now, I only say that because Conor hasn’t been super active, and when he has been active, he has either been wrestlefucked, or not Conor at all, ill expand on that later. Poirier has something to fall back on if his striking isn’t as effective as he wants it to be, and that’s his wrestling ability, if he can maybe push Conor back against the cage, and do a Khabib on him and grind him out, then that’s going to be big. McGregor On the other hand, has always been an outstanding fighter, he’s revolutionary with his striking, but recently his performances have been… interesting to say the least. Looking back on his Cerrone fight, I didn’t see a McGregor that we all knew, it was a… crazy McGregor, it wasn’t his style, it wasn’t that patient, long stance left hand sniper that we all love. See, the issue I have with McGregor is that he’s a wild card, he’s obviously a dangerously sharp counterboxer, but does he still have it? And has Poirier developed a solid game plan? These are questions I can’t answer directly, but I can only speculate, and even then I don’t know what the fuck to say. Going forward, Poirier will get hit, going backwards, Poirier will get hit, he either needs to make this absolutely filthy and dirty to win, or wrestle, that’s the two only ways I see him winning. Otherwise, Conor is going to win. Honestly guys, it’s a coin flip. I’m probably going to get this wrong, so that’s the biggest warning i can give, but i’m going with Poirier on this one, it’s… not going to end in my favour, I know, and that’s on me. So, the safest bet would be McGregor via KO in the first 3, but my personal prediction? Poirier via KO R4 And that's it! Again, im not a prediction god, those of you that read all of mine every week know that for certain lol. As with every Poirier fight, after the event i'll be donating 50 USD to the Good Fight Foundation. Gotta love Poirier for that. If you wish to support me please message me and i can provide details on how you can do so. If you would like to follow me on twitter, you can find me @Slayer_Tip or if you want, add me on discord and we can have a super friendly chat about all things MMA: Slayertip#7013 Lets have a fun discussion down below, let me know if you agree/disagree with my picks :) But for now, have a beautiful week, take care of yourselves :)
r/nba thinks Vegas is overrating Warriors/Hawks, underrating Lakers/Rockets in latest Win Totals projections
On Thursday, I posted about the Win Totals league, where nba members can predict the records of each team this upcoming season. Analyzing the predictions of the people that have signed up and made projections thus far, there are some interesting places where opinions differ quite substantially from the odds-makers at BetOnline: The Top 5 Overrated Teams According to nba
Golden State Warriors (nba predicting 5.9 fewer wins than Vegas)
Atlanta Hawks (nba predicting 3.7 fewer wins than Vegas)
New Orleans Pelicans (nba predicting 3.1 fewer wins than Vegas)
Detroit Pistons (nba predicting 2.9 more fewer wins than Vegas)
New York Knicks (nba predicting 2.8 more wins than Vegas)
It'll be interesting to see how this changes up until tip-off as more projections come in. I'll be sure to post an end-of-season recap to see how we performed as a unit.
Which team NCT 127 and WayV are on during Rooftop Fight. Let's take a look of NCT's biases in Dream!
2021 came, the year all Nctzens anticipated for THE ROOFTOP Fight! If you have no idea what rooftop fight is, take a look if my recent post covering the issue. The thing is, Dream is ready and Nctzens made their bets. Polls were prepared and choices are made. Even SM is ready which is suprising because the content is now scheduled and it will be in NCT Dream's yourube channel. But for today we are covering an importsnt question, who do you think NCT 127 and WayV members root for deep down? Which teams are they in? And does your bias roots for also your Dream bias? Lets find out. As usual we go from oldest to youngest.
Taeil_Team_Haechan/Jeno
Taeil is a pacifist in the nature, the unofficial maknae of Dream probably closest to Haechan because of 127 and clearly has a huge soft spot for Haechan. But recently he filmed It's Awkward but its okay series with Jeno who happens to be another pacifist in the nature just like Taeil! As you can guess it was a bit awkward since both of them are introverts but clearly they hit it off well. Although his pacifist nature and the old man he is, he advices all Dreamies to not fight and prays for all of their health. However he just can't help but be sliiightly biased towards Jeno and Haechan.
Taeyong_Team_Jisung/Mark
While Markyong is the son and father duo, offically THAT duo, I also think that Taeyong has a cute little soft spot for Jisung, the maknae of whole Nct. Sure Markyong bonds over many things like for their passion for music, dance and writing lyrics even though they are absolutely worst at explaining... Yeah they can make eye contact and think they should look out for each other because there is a lot coming with diffrent units. They make breakfast together, jump to the pools and do face masks... They kill on the stage together and work on many unreleased songs and they bond over struggles of being a leader for their unit... BUT Taeyong just can't help but also root for Jisung, the ultimate maknae. His leader instincts take the control and looks over for the youngest. In the end Taeyong roots for Mark and Jisung, probably the ones that will lose first... Taeyong I am sorry but your love for your kids will not help you win this bet.
Johnny_Team_Mark/Jaemin
Well Johnny is a man with suprises. He roots for Na Jaemin, the man who is as passionate as him in photography and the owner of this catch phrase 'Sexyy' which Johnny approve. This pair bonded over in It's Awkard but it's okay series and showed a great chemistry and proved they are a hilarious duo indeed. Their bond continued to grow in Work it promotions. Despite the similarities Na Jaemin and Johnny shares like their perfect english vocabulary we can't forget Mark Lee. No Johnny can't forget him because this duo is iconic. Mark Lee who is a permenanet guest in JCC, Mark Lee whom Johnny just can't help but tease lovingly. Although we know Mark has absolutely no chance at winning this fight, Johnny just rootes for him so that he can tease him for losing in the most Johnny way ever, meaning protectively. Like how a brother does to his little sibling...
Yuta_Team_Mark/Chenle
Chenle as the biggest fanboy of Nct 127 previously promised to cover for Yuta if he is busy in future! Knowing all choreographies of nct 127 and remembering them even better than original members, with his passion of rap and nearly stealing Markyong's main rapper position Yuta and Chenle were a pair destined to happen. On the other hand Yuta bonded with Mark for a long time ago and this time he is shameless with his affection. From threatening people if they ever hurt Mark in HSR and ultimately resulted for his screentime to be cut to teasingly start "Don't overreact Mark" catchphrase and clowning his farts their relationship evolved something more affectionate and loving. Now we are seeing Yuta absolutely dote on him and hug him every possible time. With that it's safe to say Yuta is on team Chenle and Mark!
Doyoung_Team_Jeno/Renjun
There is no suprise Doyoung is on team Jeno after he announced that Jeno is officially his son and his favourite dreamie and Jeno returning the favour by telling Doyoung is his favourite nct member. However Renjun climbes the top of Doyoung's bias list very fast, after bonding over an Awkard meeting which created an iconic series, pair also did many vlives proving their chemistry. However the real reason why Doyoung %100 supports Renjun is obviously because Renjun is his successor. Renjun will do what Doyoung couldn't do and that's beating Lee Haechan. Doyoung is known to lose to Haechan in everything. And I mean everything... And the solution is crystal clear to Doyoung. It relies on Haechan's scary, you g and ruthless friend Renjun who is most probably the only one that can challenge Lee Haechan. Well Doyoung got Renjun's back so we will see how this plan will end up! While we can never know who Doyoung would root since he is an unpredictable person we are absolutely sure that there is no chance Doyoung roots for Haechan.
Kun_Team_Chenle
I am pretty sure this didn't came with a suprise since Kun not only adopted Chenle but also spoiled him like there is no tomorrow and showed his bias without even regretting. These Chinese duo is known with their cute bickering but also faking care of each other and sharing cute stories. Despite being in completely diffrent units and mostly in diffrent countries it never stopped them to share their affection towards each other. You can see how Kun stays back for Chenle in recording diaries, in his radio show and Chenle constantly mentioning Kun in his Weibo and Bubble. Based on all these evidences I will say Kun is a hardcore Chenle biased!
Ten_Team_Mark/Jaemin
Ten and Mark has known each other for years, debuting together and now in SuperM. They are also one of the pairs that never lost connection even though they both had diffrent and packed schedules. Ten letting Mark use his Netflix account, their wholesome moments in JCC and 90s Love promotions it's clear these foreign swaggers cherish each other very much. But Mark isn't the only one Ten has an amazing chemistry with. During Work It promotions Ten hyping Jaemin with his own catchphrase and Jaemin's affectionate himself hugging Ten passionately clearly shows how also this duo missed each other. That's why Ten is on team Mark and Jaemin, his younger brothers who he missed a lot!!
Jaehyun_Team_Whoever_Wins
Jaehyun is infamous with his neutral unreacting face. While people may think it's cold actually Jaehyun loves all dreamies so much saying they are closer than expected. So he chooses to stay neutral and enjoy the show while he surely roots whoever wins because his competitive ass doesn't let him do otherwise. But can you blame him? Who should he needs to root? His other half Mark or his former roommate Haechan? His favourite younger member Chenle or his awkward pair Jisung? Or should he root for Renjun and Jeno whom take a lot of pictures together? In the end he loves all dreamies and he will root for the winner. You can say Jaehyun is a man with smart choices, there is absolutely no losing for him.
Winwin_Team_Mark/Chenle
Winwin who dodges every affection from NCT members suprisingly only affectionate to Mark and Chenle. While I do not know his reasons and I am just guessing maybe because he relates Mark with that affection and how Chenle is just adorable and his young Chinese brother, it's clear that Winwin bias them.
Jungwoo_Team_Jaemin/Chenle
While Jungwoo showed a quite great chemistry with Mark he decided to scrap that plan with his It's Awkward but It's Okay series partner Chenle. They both decided to not rely on Mark to communicate with each other and promised to play basketball. On the other hand he and Jaemin goes way back, especially in their trainee days which is clear by how Jungwoo can freely tease Jaemin and work well. To put it blatantly Jungwoo is team Chenle, Jaemin and he is a passionate supporter of them in every way.
Lucas_Team_Mark/Renjun
Lucas and Mark, the same age friends that got close with each other very fast in 2018, made a great iconic vlive with full of laughter. Till this date Nctzens still miss that vlive. Luckily they were able to meet with each other with SuperM and now Resonance where we can still see the great chemistry they have. However Lucas is also close with Renjun who is his other Chinese friend and is strong enough to carry Lucas. While Renjun impressed all Nctzens who underestimated his strength with that stunt it also made everyone painfully aware with his capabilities. And Lucas is a man who respects that, he is team Mark and Renjun.
Xiaojun_Team_Renjun/Chenle
Xiaojun is China line biased and jt shows! He did instagram lives with Renjun and Chenle often and joined their lives as well. You can see how they are comfortable with each other because they joke and tease so freely. Watching their lives feels like a sitcom show where you thirdwheel to very close friends. Xiaojun just has that energy when he is with Renjun and Chenle. He is just so carefree with them you can't help but stupidly smile at them. With that I will say Xiaojun is team Renjun and Chenle!
Hendery_Team_Jisung/Chenle
While Hendery is already a friendly guy he particularly gets along well with Jisung and Chenle who are goofy enough. Their first Vlive was very comfortable and they mentioned how they don't feel awkard with each other despite they met new. Hendery also mentioned how he wants to get close to them so with that I conclude thag Hendery is team Chenle and Jisung!
Yangyang_Team_Renjun/Haechan
Yangyang roots for Renjun and Haechan who are ironically their biggest enemies, but it's simply because Renjun is his best friend in nct. As expected from China line, they have a great chemistry and their lives are even funnier than normal who are equally savage. On the other hand Yangyang also expressed his wish to get closer with Haechan and in 90s Love promotions we can tottaly see that! So Yangyang roots for Renjun and Haechan who both have high rate of survival. Safe to say Yangyang has solid bets!
Sungchan_Team_Haechan/Jisung
So Sungchan who just debuted with Nct has mentioned several times how he appreciated Haechan and is comfortable enough to tease him which takes a lot of courage. There is no need to deny he is Haechan biased but also he is unexpectedly close with Jisung. He constantly mentioned him as a person who he wants to get close and because of his age he feels comfortable with him. That makes me think Jisung is Sungchan's biaswrecker which means Sungchan is either team Haechan or Jisung!
Shotaro_Team_Jisung
Shotaro who is the new Nct member, very shy but cute but also very comfortable with Jisung who is most probably his dream bias. In a nct content where Jisung and Taeil introduces new members to Nctzens with some healthy tips, Shotaro looks more comfortable than ever. Thinking how they are also close in age it's safe to assume that Jisung is Shotaro's dream bias.
Conclusion
And with that we finished NCT's biases in Dream and who they root in this rooftop fight! Luckily SM announced they will release the rooftop fight and I am so excited. We will see how close our predictions come and also I will end this series with one last post that means next in our series which will be posted after the video... Rooftop Fight Analysis... Who winned and why? Where did our predictions go wrong? Stay tuned
Extensive list of "improvement notes" I used to climb from Silver to Plat with Yuumi
I recently climbed to Plat for the first time playing nothing but Yuumi, and wanted to share some notes I compiled along the way. Ever since high Silver, after each game, I would try to think hard about mistakes I made, going back to watch the replay if necessary. If anything stuck out, I would make an "improvement note" in a text file. These really added up after a while, and I have pasted the entire list below. Those closer to the top are more recent. There may be a few typos here and there -- feel free to ask if you don't understand something.
When early game goes rough, you often start tunneling on immediate fights, and forget about vision set up around OBJECTIVES; try to calm down and think further ahead
Using Ignite+Exhaust on a seemingly isolated target while enemies are missing keeps baiting your allies to overcommit, and then die to the response
Basic: deep river wards are good against speedy junglers, but make no sense if your jungler is just about to take the crab in that same section of river...
In lane, highest payoff of mental energy seems to come from: 1) avoiding all CC; 2) hitting Qs (these add up!); 3) procing passive on enemy ADC while they last-hit
Reminder: continuing to lose 2v2's post-6 against Lulu in lane, even with significant HP advantage and good engages; stop underestimating her poly+R combo
When an ally is getting CC'd and potentially picked in an early invade, give them the heal and shield, then gtfo onto another ally; safer, and equally effective
Reminder: bush wards do NOT cut it against Hecarim, Nunu, Rammus, etc.; to be safe, you NEED a mid-river ward, and if possible, a control ward in your own jungle
With Tryndamere: even if he's fed, he's not a great anchor; your heals have anti-synergy with his kit, and may throw him off his ult; let him split if possible
Reminder: as games get later, not body-blocking a single Jhin W can mean ADC dies, which can in turn insta-lose the whole game on the spot
Best practice for ulting: ping your ult + target beforehand -> calculate best angle and fire -> continuously look for improvements using W and E for full duration
Missing P procs in crowded minion waves; try to better incorporate the target champion only key and use right-click on them
For first ward when on red side, putting it a bit further into the river, or bit left of the bush, will both give more time to see enemy jungler coming to gank
Reminder: whenever LeBlanc is anchor in a fight, you need to be holding space; crazy woman is constantly blinking, reverting, and cloning; very easy to get lost
When you get off to a really good start, you sometimes get too hype and want to perma-fight in lane; this is very dangerous if enemy jungle/mid are missing; careful
Weird aspect of Yuumi: perhaps because you often end up mainly supporting just one person, multiple teammates often feel useless; accept this and play, don't tilt
Against Sylas: in order to not get caught off guard by his CC and escape options, you MUST pay closer attention to whose ultimate he has
According to leagueofgraphs.com, my weakest stat by far is my gold income, relative to other Yuumis; seek out more quest procs -> get Moonstone sooner -> win more
If you're under 10% HP, just don't get off OR switch allies in any remotely hostile environment; sometimes weird effects proc and you just die to a light breeze
If you only have enough mana left for one heal, never use it to top off ADC, no matter how long they are; wait for right moment to use it to maximize MS/AS as well
Reminder: STILL forgetting to use heal when running it; try just permanently thinking about it?
Rather than wait out enemy CC before procing P, it's often better to ANTICIPATE ally CC, and then proc P during brief window where enemy can't retaliate
In a tight chase down on enemy target, E first to get your anchor closer, THEN Q to apply the slow; seems straight-forward, but you often mess it up
Playing a passive, safe lane is very coin-flippy (and boring), but against bad matchups (e.g. Thresh) that is better than trying to force an advantage and dying
When a teammate is tunneling and throwing, but doesn't seem outright tilted/toxic, try pinging them harder; may help snap them out of it
As games drag on and everyone tilts, both teams often seem to get dumber, regardless of who's winning; just chilling and looking for picks is weirdly effective
Even with Elder AND Baron, if your team doesn't have any tank/engage, and some members are weak, you can't just run it down mid; will have to split-push a bit to end
Reminder: if an important objective fight is coming up in ~1:30 min, you NEED to place wards there, back, and refill your wards; this is a critical responsibility
Observed: body-blocking works not just on Kaisa's W (missile), but also on her Q (burst), as some of the projectiles will naturally target you
Observed: if you are on Illaoi getting collapsed on 3v2, and she chills in a bush, the approaching enemies are in as much danger as you; stay calm, Illaoi strong
Observed: whenever anchor is backing, maximize downtime to scout whatever you safely can nearby, and W back to them at the end of their channel
Observed: you need to use W to laterally reposition during your ult more often; it's often key to rooting more enemies while your original anchor does their thing
Observed: you can proc passive on most forms of enemy clones, including Illaoi spirits
Observed: if enemy support keeps roaming and you can't follow, you should be attempting to freeze on enemy ADC
Reminder: you are a good tool for freezing waves; you can start tanking aggro if alone, then repeatedly apply aery to your ADC for free freezing
Observed: you are not utilizing Q to scout bushes enough; it's pretty cheap and can save a death
Observed: body blocking all types of enemy projectiles at the very last second is incredibly effective
Observed: if your ADC is absolutely going to be fatally hooked, and you can anticipate it, get off and take one for the team
Reminder: on ADCs like Ezreal and Tristana, if they get caught out and still have their dash, do NOT get off to proc P and then get left behind
Observed: on blue side, bush above red buff is a nice spot for an early control ward if you have a moment; try to use it more often
Client keeps resetting preference; ALWAYS make sure you have champion names visible over health bars, to prevent skins confusing you during key moments
Decent anti-tilt strat: after you make an "inexcusable" mistake, consider the game a well-deserved loss; then just play your best for your team, regardless of outcome
Against ANY type of engage/ambush/all-in lane opponents, just start E; you or your ADC keep giving up first blood from sudden, whacky shenanigans
When an ally makes you die, there will be a burning sting through your neck, stomach, and legs; if can feel it and not tilt, that's a major advantage over opponents
When a game is going well and there is no perfect support item to build, strongly consider building: mejai's, boots of lucidity, and redemption/mikael's
Major: you keep baiting in your ADC's with sudden exhaust+ignite on enemy ADC; instead, just ping they are ready and target, and let YOUR ADC be the one to initiate
In a way, every game starts as a coinflip either for or against you, just the degree varies; your goal: lose no games in your favor, and win those slightly against you
Reminder: you tilting leads to losses more directly than teammates throwing; enjoying or at least tolerating the game while losing is a very underrated "skill"
Even in high elo, good decisions are worth much more than perfect mechanics
10 minutes worth of smart lane trading can evaporate in an instant due to one slightly careless misposition; the game always hangs in the balance
Rage warding a new pink ward while your old pink ward is being destroyed is very rarely worth it
Reminder: don't blow your E for AS/MS alone unless there is zero danger of counter-kill; better to hold it for heal value in most cases
If possible, you want your lane to be a slow, safe war of attrition, not a violent fiesta of death
Reminder: when one enemy is uber-fed, you MUST save exhaust for them at all cost; doing anything else = directly lose the game
Reminder: ultimately, you will climb if you consistently outperform the enemy support; that means better lane trades, better vision, better objective/teamfight support
Against Rell/Tristana: if they hit level 2 first and all-in, they are capable of killing your ADC under tower, unless you start heal (!)
If your ADC gets hooked and locked down, try to time and aim your ult to root the enemy ADC just as the CC chain ends; this gives your ADC the best chance at escaping
After Moonstone, a point-blank Q can actually provide a critical heal to another teammate; in this rare situation, point-blank Q is good
Teamfighting directly underneath an angry Baron is not a good environment for Yuumi; his AA's alone can quickly kill you
Bad habit: when low HP ally is running, you keep trying to proc passive on the pursuer, and getting caught in hard CC; sometimes, it's better to just pray
When your team is winning early, it's fine to play safer, but don't play lazy; at the very least, keep hitting your Q's
Against any melee support, whenever their dangerous spells are on CD, HARASS the living hell out of them; show no mercy (though watch out for enemy ADC of course)
Too often, you "go down with the first ship" in teamfights; unless they're the sole carry, just let your anchors die; because if you die too early, then EVERYONE dies
Reminder: respect enemy burst more at level 2, regardless of their comp; you keep giving up first blood, stop that
If you are solo guarding while enemy ignores you and whacks your tower, treat them as a gold sponge; +20 per quest proc is great
Observed: on blue side, you can often soak lane experience at full value while in river bush, in order to better support your jungler invading enemy bot side
Observed: on blue side especially, if enemy jungler can't dash over walls, no reason not to ward a bit DEEPER in river on first ward
If your W gets put on CD, don't take potshot Q's while off; they are very unlikely to empowered hit, and you can be much more effective in a few seconds
Don't neglect landing your empowered Q's during key teamfights; the slow and extra damage are significant; keep one eye on your anchos, but aim it properly
Against Swain: fyi, his W (eye) has an insane range (5500+); also, his E (claw) has 850 range, and gives least time to dodge root at very tip, making it quite deadly
When you and your anchor get collapsed on in neutral territory, sometimes breaking off and running in opposite directions makes the double-kill impossible for enemy
Against Alistar: his flash-Q with ADC follow-up will 100-to-0 you through all countermeasures at all levels, just like Sett
Reminder: STOP getting off for random greedy P procs; you are throwing fights
For squishy ADCs like Twitch into CC heavy enemies, consider starting Mikael's; test it out a bit
If things are going south for your anchor, start looking for Plan B anchor immediately; slight delay can make a big difference
Consider P proc in teamfights as risk/reward; better to lose one anchor and continue the fight than lose whole game from getting hard CC'd and dying
In ~3/4 of games, someone on your team will be making attrocious decisions; if they're not playing with the team, do not encourage them with heals
When chasing and weaving in AAs, be more mindful of W CD; sometimes it is better to do nothing and just wait for Q
Reminder: when facing a tank support in lane, hard focus their squishier ADC with Q poke; if they all-in, hard focus their ADC in counter-attack
Against Malphite: if he levels up sapling first, then you probably want to start E; starting Q and then having your ADC get chunked low can be pretty rough
When games devolve into total fiestas, just sitting on whoever is farming mid is an okay principle; you're pretty good in ARAMs, and less likely to die in a pick
When you feel someone on your team doesn't "deserve" the win, just go on someone else who does; feels better, and sometimes it works out
When a carry is on a full rampage, just stay on them; no use trying to keep the whole team together, as the carry may dive in without you while out of sync
Your mid-laners keep getting killed by roaming enemy support; since you usually can't really match well, you must ping better
Against Sett: careful, his flash-E will not just chunk you at level 2; with his ADC, it can straight-up 100-to-0 you even through your E, potion, and ADC heal
Reminder: champ icons are safer to W to than champ models; also, you can't just W around in later teamfights once you've been chunked once; will explode
Against Lulu: if all her CDs are up post 6, you can't 2v2, even with HP advantage; she will just polymorph your ADC while ulting hers, and you will quickly die
Against Galio support: if possible, you want to poke down the enemy ADC with AP, while your ADC pokes him down with AD
Not tilting seems to make you play about 25% better, which is usually enough to turn a game
Reminder against Jhin: later in lane, his 4th shot or 4th bounce will chunk you for like 50% or more; imperative to keep track of and avoid these
Consider: roaming before end of laning phase often disheartens ADC a bit, especially if they get 2v1'd; try to ensure the roam is worth the mental toll
When an ally is "medium raging," just sitting on them and healing them a bit more than usual can actually seem to calm them down...
Reminder: on average, roughly HALF the players are better than you; if an ally is carrying, try just trusting them unconditionally unless it repeatedly backfires
Reminder: hold onto Exhaust, and put it on a dps carry, NOT a tank or support
Somehow keep getting stuck on the wrong side of the dragon/baron pit; again: stick to the member with dashes to avoid this
Unless grinding for wins, looking up teammates before the game often seems to make you play worse, like when someone is first-timing their champ, etc.
Late-game, try to save ignite for large threats with high healing, or those about to leave vision; don't just slam it on anyone unless it's the FINAL fight
Weird: if you ditch the carry before they die, they may believe they would have lived with you there, and int more; sometimes it may be worth dying WITH them??
If a teammate does something that makes you lose the desire to win, remember we're all ignorant in different ways; play for the moment and limit test
As soon as a player toxic pings once, mute them until at least late game; repeated toxic pings are sapping your desire to win
Play purely for improvement (win/loss due to team is meaningless!), until you feel you are at goal elo threshold; then play hard for the wins to try and reach it
Don't type after the match either, unless it's something all-around positive; not good for mental health
Major: sometimes you know your ADC is bad, but enemy gets low; in such cases, going in usually backfires horribly; just play safe, and do NOT fight with them
Pay closer attention to ebb and flow of minion waves for Q and P procs; there are certain windows when it is much easier to strike
Against Poppy: getting off or on in her W field counts as a dash, and will severely mess you up; never do that
Be liberal in your use of caution/danger pings; don't assume people see or understand obvious risks; this is your best chance of "improving teammate IQ"
If your ADC gets chunked horribly low and looks to back, don't bait them to stay with heals; good junglers will just dive and kill you before you can recover
Against Ekko: his W stun is telegraphed enough that you should never get caught; don't cut it too close either
Even when there is nothing to be body-blocked, getting off and getting aggressive can sometimes distract enemy enough for your ADC to escape in close fights
Pattern: your ADCs keep trading 1 for 1 in early bot lane battles; if possible, YOU should be the one dying in these trades, not them
There is an art to abandoning a teammate; heal them if they can get a kill, heal yourself if they are totally doomed, save heal if a new anchor is closeby
Some carries do NOT want your help (i.e. exp share) until late game, and will actively int if you force it; may need to play "suboptimal" to increase win chance
Boots of lucidity work surprisingly well after second item; CDR makes a big difference
Rare: potentially lost an entire game by hovering cursor too near a teammate while trying to get off to proc passive; be more precise
If enemy team has a single carry tearing through everyone, ping them hard whenever you see them in standoffs and throughout fights
In wild skirmishes, if you have ample health, things are really coming down to the wire, and everything is on CD, just get off and start AA'ing/body-blocking
Against Jhin: by mid-game, 3 ult shots will kill you; be careful not to get too carried away blocking; also, just stand still to block if possible, safer
If a hard carry anchor is destroying a T1 or T2 turret, and you can back, you can do so before it falls to increase the local gold going to your carry
General: at least once a game, you seem to make some completely questionable ult/exhaust/W decision; try to slow things down a bit and not make nonsense plays
Against Morgana: W is too slow to dodge her bind if she fires it from medium distance; give it more respect
When you have low vision and feel a gank may be coming, don't just ping once and hope your ADC wards; ping a lot, back off, and stay safe
The first honey fruit spawns between 6:00 - 6:30 near dragon pit; consider going to get it at 6:20 if safe
The wall-jumping blast cone spawns between 5:00 - 5:30; factor this into gank considerations
River ward placed at 2:30 will expire just as second ward comes online at 4:00; together this can give uninterrupted river vision until 5:30
When an ADC is not stepping up for your Q's to land, try pinging your target just before you fire; may help them get the message
Minor: when steering by map and hopping off to path to different ally, you keep hopping off in wrong direction (towards map); stop doing that
Still not used to running heal; when ADC takes ignite, try crossing your toes or something to remember
Unless you're at max mana, just do not shoot low chance/impact Q's in lane; your mana conservation is usually more important than your quest item
Talk as little as possible during champ select; much better for your mental
Especially when with jungler, need to be aware which of you revealed the ward, so that the other one can clear it for more gold; basic fundamentals
If ADC is pushing up with no vision, neither should you sit on them nor facecheck bushes; just BACK off, they can die alone if they insist
Against Neeko: she can be a surprisingly tough support to deal with; her emp. AA stings, her root is deadly, and her disguise can bait important CDs; careful!
Reminder: Wukong's ult continues to put your W on CD at bad times; whenever he is in the game, pay special attention for it
Consider getting an elixir of sorcery a bit more often if you sense both teams are tilted; one big win at a mid-game objective often makes the other team ff
Wasteful double-wards with allies happening fairly often; try to anticipate ally ward, or else ping your own ward and the spot beforehand
When there is clear down-time with no objectives, priority is: ward / rotate for possible picks -> back for more wards -> soak exp.
Leading up to a river fight, if no one else is placing control wards, pixel bush often get more mileage than dragon/baron pit; sweep pit and ward later
When you are below average level, melee minions actually take 2 tower and 2 AA's to kill
In poke-heavy lane match-ups, make better use of aery shield as a blocking tool; especially good for Tristana and Zilean delayed explosions
Roaming to mid briefly after first back often has surprisingly good outcomes; even topping off their HP, hitting a Q, and leaving can give them an edge
Immediately going for free passive procs should be second nature; keep them in mind always until they are
Poke a bit more conservatively in lane, and try to focus the same target repeatedly -- whoever seems worse at positioning/dodging
When someone ganks you successfully once, there's a good chance they'll try again by the same angle; ward accordingly
In skirmishes and teamfights, work on holding Ult for an extra second; the improved angle once people burn their dashes can be devastating
Quick hop offs to land Exhaust/Ignite still need significant work; focus extra hard when you anticipate needing to land summs at longer range
Reminder: competent enemy supports will just clear your vision on objectives before fights; better to set it up well ahead, and then back for more wards
Sometimes, you really don't need to be fast and flashy; just give the heals and wards and hit your Q's, keep it simple; otherwise, risk a rushed misplay
When there's Leona+Wukong right on top of your anchor going nuts, you just can't get off; CC everywhere
When going for picks, there may be no "perfect" ult angle, as they can just dash diagonally out; then best to ult to cut off the max amount of retreat path
When it's too dangerous to get off, a point-blank Q can proc moonstone renewer and give an emergency heal to a nearby ally
Reminder: when getting invaded through tribush on blue side, run DOWN around the rock outcrop; cuts enemy vision of you, and you can ward back over
Reminder: when alone and getting invaded on either side, you must E in the proper direction within about 0.5 seconds, or you should die unless enemy messes up
Against Yasuo: don't forget or underestimate his tornados; they move fast, and getting hit by one at the wrong moment can lose the whole game
Minor: just put support item on proper key to begin with; it doesn't shift when it upgrades
When AA'ing a tower, rather than mindlessly kiting back and forth, better to position in safest place, and then inspect the map/scoreboard
In lane all-ins, once you've used all your CDs, it's often best to just stand directly in front of your ADC and AA; if you die and they live, it's ok
"Hookshot" Q's that you can bend all the way behind enemy minions have very high hit chance; keep them in mind as priority method
With Ekko: avoid procing shield when he's likely to ult; very easy to get left behind
Generally, the deeper up the river you can ward, the safe you'll be; ward near the actual crab early if convenient
When behind, just stay calm, set up vision ring, and predict where/when enemy team is most likely to greed; be ready to punish
When taking Baron and things get hairy, best to stay on champs with dashes that can gtfo/turn more easily; do NOT start wandering around on your own
Sometimes ulting your anchor's target gets them killed; e.g. it's often much better to proc passive on Karthus and shield ally, than to immediately ult him
In teamfights, focus more on your OWN positioning; which side you hop off on to proc passsive can make an enormous difference for avoiding CC
If your ADC ints once, chances are high they will int again; be extra ready to ditch them
With Trist: ask her to ping before she all-ins, or rocket jumps in general; helps prevent getting left behind
Against Jhin: easy to forget, if he roots you with W, you will probably just die
Dying early in lane is worse than just the initial effect; frequently ADCs will rage and int themselves later in the game...
When enemy places a yellow ward in lane bush, get into habit of (E+)AAx2 and pinging it for ADC; can insta-clear with good reflexes
Consider pinging objectives a bit harder if team is greeding/unfocused
Against Nami: if she's smart, she will send her bubble into your dash path, dangerous; her poke also stings quite a bit, don't underestimate
If there is an early skirmish, start E; it just gets way better value than Q outside of lane
When the game is a total fiesta, with no one really carrying, just sticking on the ADC seems best; they CS and survive better with you around
Get in the habit of checking the scoreboard EVERY time you back; quick scan over all champ levels/CS/items
Try not to panic when you or your anchors facechecks a bush and gets ambushed; mashing buttons (other than E) is never the best play there
With Lillia: she's a great anchor for roaming picks, but can be awkward to sit on in teamfights; squishy, and can be hard to reach teammates in need
Against Thresh: while his Flash-Flay is deadly, you should be able to bait his hook okay while in W range of ADC, as long as you're ready for it
Take more care with your ult angle; a few degrees can make a huge difference, especially in moving fights and around choke points
Basic: if you know there's a control ward in bush, don't place a yellow in unless you know you can clear it; otherwise just directly feeds gold/exp to enemy
Ideal lane skirmishing is complex: want to hit emp. Q and both summs on best targets, have ADC benefite from full passive+aery+E, all while weaving in AA's
When running heal, need to pay extra close attention during dense teamfights; be sure to use it at a good time
In lanes that feel awful, try to be more patient; just help your ADC farm and get through it
In crazy burst fiestas, you may get more mileage out of Mikael's than Redemption; instant heal and cleanse on carry is more consistent?
With Katarina: she can and will jump all over the place in strange ways; use ult more in the general direction of the enemy, can even zone with it
Important: really need to keep better track of whether current anchor has flash up; keep getting stranded when they use it unexpectedly
Against Soraka: watch out for the root at the end of her E, it is very dangerous; you can't really side-step her Q, must use W to dodge
Against Irelia: she likes to use her stun soon after she ults; it's not safe to get off until you're sure it's gone
Jumping off and repositioning while ulting can be good, but you can also just get CC'd and have the ult canceled entirely; be careful
Against Blitzcrank: in lane, his hook costs ~1/3 of his mana, on a ~20 sec CD; play around these numbers more consciously
Against Jhin: body-blocking his W on your ADC can be huge, always be ready to do so
When people are greeding, and backing out very slowly, try to avoid going back in to heal them; it often encourages them to int
Against Fiora: just don't hit her with summs until you see her blow parry; it's not worth having one blocked
Start thinking about toplaner TP flanks more, and set up a ward at mid bush at least if one is possible
With Kindred: you cannot heal allies who reach the 10% threshold inside her ult, which lasts 4 seconds; wait until after the ult's ending heal triggers
Against Kai'Sa: try to anticipate and body block her W missile in lane; she often uses it to try to poke/kill your ADC
Stop burning Exhaust when you are obviously already dead
Do not gamble your life by solo warding bushes that enemy champs could quite possibly be in
Reminder: stop spamming wards; you get 3 yellows up at once -- think consciously about the best places to put them; know where yours are
With Katarina and Leblanc: just hold space in fights; otherwise it is very easy to lose track of where you are
Reminder: it is very rarely ideal to use Exhaust on enemy support -- main exception is in lane when they are damage heavy
Against Thresh: watch out for his Flash-Flay combo; you can't really react, and it is very deadly; staying far away in a bush is your best bet
Against Maokai: even if you can't clear saplings with W, consider trying to block some of the damage onto your ADC with aery shield
Regardless of if you feel hype, you need to feel out enemy bot's playstyle before going too ham
I keep confusing small champs (e.g. Lulu vs. Fizz) in crucial moments; turn on champ names above HP bars; pay attention
Against Hecarim: need to ward further up the river; bush ward will be too late
Hopping off a CCed teammate to continue a moving ult can be huge; similarly, W'ing between allies while ulting can root more enemies
When you see CS going to waste in any free scenario, get into the habit of grabbing it with AAs or Q
Against Seraphine: keep track of her echo counter, and make sure not to get rooted by the 3rd ability
In weird chaotic games where different lanes are stomping on different teams, focus extra hard on the high priority target/s
Reminder: wait out the initial shitstorm in full 5v5's before ally hopping; you will just get caught by random CC and explode
One Q can make the difference on a gank, which can swing the game; if jungler is coming, pay extra close attention to mana, CDs, and ideal target
Against Soraka: to win the poke war, try very hard to avoid giving her free Q's
Against Ezreal: body blocking either his W or Q is quite helpful for your ADC
Try not to fire ult from super inflexible positions; if enemies respond quickly, it may just get wasted
In games that are getting away, try harder to save ult for enemy shutdown
Reminder: greedy ward clearing loses games
Against Nautilus: his ult is worse than it seems; the knockup will often catch you while it travels to someone else, be very careful
When a gank is imminent, try NOT to hop off, so as to preserve CD on W
Tacking ALL enemy CDs in lane is too hard for now; just focus harder on those that CC you
Keep forgetting I can't proc my passive during R; be more careful about that
If an anchor does something that seems questionable/greedy, give one caution ping at least before just going with it
W off for a little extra distance, ward, then W back on
Don't lose focus or play scared just because you get chunked once in lane; stay proactive and stick to the plan
With Hecarim: his E and R often put him behind the enemy target: careful not to fire your ult in the wrong direction
Against Rakan: watch out for his snappy engage from long distance, easy to get caught off guard
If an enemy tank appears caught out, but enemy carries are missing, do not hard commit to killing the tank; doing so may throw the ensuing teamfight
Keep better track of which enemies are a real threat vs non-threat; don't blow ult and summs on non-threats (very impactful)
Keep track of GA's on own team, and play around them more intelligently
When W is not on CD (especially post level 11) and teammate is running for their life, consider helping shield them with aery procs; it can make the difference
If someone is getting turbo-focused by entire enemy team, dashing to them is probably unsafe...
Don't back when fight may be about to break out, even if you need items/mana
Q's continuing to miss in lane; teamfight awareness needs further improvement
Put indicator-aimed Q on an easier key, for long-range solo snipes; helps clean up random CS, tag dragon while approaching, etc.
Reminder: usually passive is easiesafer to proc on ADC, since they are more focused on last-hitting
Enlarge map, and spend 5 games where overarching goal is to keep track of enemy jungler+mid through laning phase, warding and rotating accordingly
Be aggressive as hell around levels 1/2 if you think you can get away with it; may confuse enemies and inspire own ADC
If you need to jump around to proc Moonstone in grouped chaos, use W on hero icons; VERY useful under certain circumstances
Treat pre-level 11 W as a majorly important CD; getting stuck off an anchor during an early skirmish can be game-losing
If team is overextending and not heeding caution pings, just start backing on your own, and see if they get the message
Weird: consider hopping off and moving around a bit when there's clear downtime in lane, to avoid tilting unstable ADCs for being "afk"
Try to keep track of whether anchor has hourglass/zhonyas; don't get off if you think they are about to use it
Pay closer attention to when enemy ADC is about to last hit; that's usually a safer time to proc passive
If safe, consider helping hit minions after procing passive at level 1; level 2 comes after 6th melee minion
Still having some issues with proper ability buffering and ally hopping during intense skirmishes; make sure you at least always know WHO you are on
Don't get impatient under turret; look for rotation plays when possible, but try to move more intelligently
Reminder: once again, hit by hard CC in lane = death = deserved loss
Be more intentional with warding spots; don't just slam wards for the hell of it; first think about where enemy is most likely to go
If things are falling apart / desperate, don't even bother trying to heal squishy non-carries in chaotic fights; just make sure the carry survives
Try harder to stay oriented and aware of surroundings during skirmishes; choose and commit to Q and R targets properly
Reminder: NEED to not get hit by hard CC in early laning phase; it is very, very bad
Refocus on not missing Q's in lane; while steering it, shaking cursor back and forth slightly seems to help counter enemy jukes
Against Maokai, be very careful of his W (dash) -> Q (shockwave) combo; it comes out fast, and if you get hit by either part, your W goes on CD
Against Varus, avoid healing ADC while they are inside the GW zone from his E (arrow volley), unless absolutely necessary
In mid-game, look harder for reset opportunities when you are out of wards and have some time until next objective
Never get knocked up by dragon, herald, or baron
In loading screen, try making a mental checklist of every enemy ability that will put your W on CD
Be more conservative with pink wards; try not to waste them in indefensible places while laning
Don't try to fire off Q when surrounded by enemy minions; it will just get blocked
Don't underestimate the strength of top laners who have just been farming all game as potential anchors
Refocus on optimizing ward placements, at the very edge of bushes using green dot indicator
Look for chances to hop between allies while ulting / Q'ing; remain aware of best time to E while channeling Q/R
Try to keep moonstone renewer and ardent censer procs in back of mind once owned
Get better at quickly warding across the thick wall into the red side botlane river bush
Try to be consciously aware of key abilities you should be ready to body block, like Ashe W, Cait R, Nidalee spear, etc.
Try not to bait teammates into sketchy situations with low impact Q poke in mid-late game
Be more cautious about upgrading Dark Seal into Mejai's if things are still volatile
Keep better track of cursor and anchor during chaotic teamfights; hold space more if attached to someone "blinky" like Katarina
Basic: be sure you have actually started attaching before buffering E
Be more careful with W cooldowns before level 6; do not attach/detach for no reason; be intentional; default state is attached
Identify the key Exhaust+Ignite target/s ahead of time
Be careful not to run out of mana at critical times by throwing out low impact Q's
Try not to jump off of champions with dashes that might be about to dash
Don't just throw out R to engage with no warning; ping intentions a couple seconds ahead of time
Use the "quick cast with indicator" green highlighted ward option to ward in edges of bushes; try to ward more quickly and usefully
Hope at least some of these are useful to fellow Yuumi fans!
Free Best Football Prediction Site. Supatips.com is a free football prediction site that predict football matches accurately on all types of predictions in all the major leagues in the world, such as the Bundesliga and the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Ligue 1 to name but a few. We do not mess or talk about fixed matches, but we guarantee you over 85% success rate in all betting sections Here we bring you our upcoming sure bet predictions for today. By sure bets, we mean games where we are at least 85% confident that wins will be as we've predicted for each of the teams. While we class the football predictions shown here as safe bets or sure wins, they don't guarantee success. Free betting tips on TIPS180 include OVER 1.5, Double Chance, Potential Risk (High Odds), Upcoming Tips and Free Tipsters Tips no wonder tips180.com is considered as the best free soccer prediction site in the world. Our simple and unique interface makes it easy for users to navigate through our website. The sure bet tips and prediction for this match is an way win for Levante. Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Sure Bet Prediction. Our last sure prediction comes form the Greek Super League. The match between Asteras Tripolis and Olympiakos is expected to end wih an away win. This is a sure bet tips whose accuracy is great. Win Draw Win Win Draw Win is one of sure bet prediction sites with a very good reputation of offering reliable surebet prediction. It offers sure bets from all major leagues in Europe. They also offer daily Sure bet accumulator tips. They also post sure bet tips 7 days in advance giving punters equally enough time to do their research. 5. Forebet Sure Betting; THE Football Fixed Matches WIN Free ticket football matches 1×2. fixed matches 100% sure. paid tips 1×2. free fixed match today. ht/ft fixed matches Free ticket football matches 1×2. double Safe Prediction Win Matches daily combo and single expert picks. xanthi-fixed.matches.sportal.tips. Safe Prediction Win Matches Free football prediction site. Find betting tips, soccer predictions, statistics, winning football tips and much more to help you win big. Notice Board. 1/3 We want to notify our esteemed subscribers that our prices will experience a slight increase starting from 1st January 2021. Your sure win soccer match prediction tips credits are merely abstract for all winning tips you received from us. We call this - 100% membership guarantee satisfaction and the sure win football prediction tips credits will not be removed from your account. Introduction of sure win betting prediction was revolutionary, but keeping out with the standards is our main priority. Recognizing a great odd and a good match to bet on is all part of the betting philosophy. Sure Win Betting Tips is much more sophisticated than regular offline betting. At Protipster.net, you get access to the best sure win soccer betting tips that are going to turn you rich. We scourge the internet for the best sure win prediction for today matches so that you can utilize them to win consistently. Try our services today and see why we are the best in the industry
Daily Betting with How to win bet daily Bet9ja Daily Betting Prediction Daily Betting 5 OddsBet9ja prediction win big 5 Odds prediction Bet9ja PredictionSure... Hi guys welcome to my channel, in this video am gonna be sharing the betrollover 8 games today, sure 2 odds that will enable you double your money in just 90... Everything is fair in game of football.Matches are fixed to ensure success in bets and millions of dollars are pockered in betting.since most of the football... How to win bet dailyHappy Christmas everyone enjoy your daySure prediction sure 2 odds betting WinBet9ja PredictionSure PredictionWin 2 odds bet9ja predictio... Football, Predictions, For, Today,, Football predictions for today Football tips, Free football picks, Free football tips, Free soccer tips for todaypremier league, Premier league predictions ... Sports gambling strategy of arbitrage betting by selecting middle bets. This video will explain how they work and how to bet on them. Rebelbetting software a... Football, Predictions, For, Today,, Football predictions for today Football tips, Free football picks, Free football tips, Free soccer tips, todaypremier lea...
![[This Quest is Bullshit] - Chapter 75: Headaches](https://a.thumbs.redditmedia.com/_x93MiHq_0JmYD3BamQkylZL1tKg3r7mPTCy6CCNGT4.jpg "[This Quest is Bullshit] - Chapter 75: Headaches")
